Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36318189›Full record

ArticleEcology letters2023

Ranking species based on sensitivity to perturbations under non-equilibrium community dynamics.

Lucas P Medeiros, Stefano Allesina, Vasilis Dakos, George Sugihara, Serguei Saavedra

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Ecology letters, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Revealing unseen dynamical regimes of ecosystems from population time-series data.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Lucas P MedeirosDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Massachusetts, Cambridge, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0320-5058
Stefano AllesinaDepartment of Ecology & Evolution, University of Chicago, Illinois, Chicago, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0313-8374
Vasilis DakosInstitut des Sciences de l'Evolution de Montpellier, Université de Montpellier, Montpellier, France.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8862-718X
George SugiharaScripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, California, La Jolla, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2863-6946
Serguei SaavedraDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Massachusetts, Cambridge, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1768-363X

Funding

DoD-Strategic Environmental Research and Development Program 15 RC-2509DOI USDI-NPS P20AC00527Martin Family Society of Fellows for SustainabilityMIT Sea grant, Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyNational Science Foundation ABI-1667584National Science Foundation DEB-1655203National Science Foundation DEB-2024349
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Managing ecological communities requires fast detection of species that are sensitive to perturbations. Yet, the focus on recovery to equilibrium has prevented us from assessing species responses to perturbations when abundances fluctuate over time. Here, we introduce two data-driven approaches (expected sensitivity and eigenvector rankings) based on the time-varying Jacobian matrix to rank species over time according to their sensitivity to perturbations on abundances. Using several population dynamics models, we demonstrate that we can infer these rankings from time-series data to predict the order of species sensitivities. We find that the most sensitive species are not always the ones with the most rapidly changing or lowest abundance, which are typical criteria used to monitor populations. Finally, using two empirical time series, we show that sensitive species tend to be harder to forecast. Our results suggest that incorporating information on species interactions can improve how we manage communities out of equilibrium.

Indexed as

BiotaForecastingPopulation DynamicsTime FactorseigenvectorforecastingJacobian matrixpopulation dynamicsspecies interactionstime series

Identifiers

PMID36318189
PMCPMC10092288

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.