Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36317297›Full record

ArticleInfluenza and other respiratory viruses2023

Comparative hospitalization risk for SARS-CoV-2 Omicron and Delta variant infections, by variant predominance periods and patient-level sequencing results, New York City, August 2021-January 2022.

Sharon K Greene, Alison Levin-Rector, Nang T T Kyaw, Elizabeth Luoma, Helly Amin, Emily McGibbon, Robert W Mathes, Shama D Ahuja

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.4field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 27 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Clinical outcomes of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 Omicron and Delta variant: systematic review and meta-analysis of 33 studies covering 6 037 144 coronavirus disease 2019-positive patients.Clinical microbiology and infection : the official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases · 2023
    Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Sharon K GreeneSurveillance and Epidemiology Section, COVID-19 Emergency Response Team, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, Long Island City, New York, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3509-2377
Alison Levin-RectorSurveillance and Epidemiology Section, COVID-19 Emergency Response Team, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, Long Island City, New York, USA.
Nang T T KyawSurveillance and Epidemiology Section, COVID-19 Emergency Response Team, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, Long Island City, New York, USA.
Elizabeth LuomaSurveillance and Epidemiology Section, COVID-19 Emergency Response Team, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, Long Island City, New York, USA.
Helly AminBureau of the Public Health Laboratory, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, New York, New York, USA.
Emily McGibbonSurveillance and Epidemiology Section, COVID-19 Emergency Response Team, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, Long Island City, New York, USA.
Robert W MathesSurveillance and Epidemiology Section, COVID-19 Emergency Response Team, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, Long Island City, New York, USA.
Shama D AhujaSurveillance and Epidemiology Section, COVID-19 Emergency Response Team, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, Long Island City, New York, USA.
New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene · USCenters for Disease Control and Prevention · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundComparing disease severity between SARS-CoV-2 variants among populations with varied vaccination and infection histories can help characterize emerging variants and support healthcare system preparedness.

methodsWe compared COVID-19 hospitalization risk among New York City residents with positive laboratory-based SARS-CoV-2 tests when ≥98% of sequencing results were Delta (August-November 2021) or Omicron (BA.1 and sublineages, January 2022). A secondary analysis defined variant exposure using patient-level sequencing results during July 2021-January 2022, comprising 1-18% of weekly confirmed cases.

resultsHospitalization risk was lower among patients testing positive when Omicron (16,025/488,053, 3.3%) than when Delta predominated (8268/158,799, 5.2%). In multivariable analysis adjusting for demographic characteristics and prior diagnosis and vaccination status, patients testing positive when Omicron predominated, compared with Delta, had 0.72 (95% CI: 0.63, 0.82) times the hospitalization risk. In a secondary analysis of patients with sequencing results, hospitalization risk was similar among patients infected with Omicron (2042/29,866, 6.8%), compared with Delta (1780/25,272, 7.0%), and higher among the subset who received two mRNA vaccine doses (adjusted relative risk 1.64; 95% CI: 1.44, 1.87).

conclusionsHospitalization risk was lower among patients testing positive when Omicron predominated, compared with Delta. This finding persisted after adjusting for prior diagnosis and vaccination status, suggesting intrinsic virologic properties, not population-based immunity, explained the lower severity. Secondary analyses demonstrated collider bias from the sequencing sampling frame changing over time in ways associated with disease severity. Representative data collection is necessary to avoid bias when comparing disease severity between previously dominant and newly emerging variants.

Indexed as

COVID-19SARS-CoV-2HospitalizationHumansNew York CityCOVID-19epidemiologyhospitalizationinformaticspublic healthSARS-CoV-2selection biaswhole genome sequencing

Identifiers

PMID36317297
PMCPMC9835408
OpenAlexW4307848772

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.