Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36314145›Full record

ArticlePhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences2022

Intertemporal choice reflects value comparison rather than self-control: insights from confidence judgements.

Adam Bulley, Karolina M Lempert, Colin Conwell, Muireann Irish, Daniel L Schacter

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Imagining emotional events benefits future-oriented decisions.Quarterly journal of experimental psychology (2006) · 2022
    Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. The temporal dynamics of self-control.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  5. Neural basis of self-control.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Thinking about possibilities: mechanisms, ontogeny, functions and phylogeny.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2022
    Article
  13. Intertemporal choice reflects value comparison rather than self-control: insights from confidence judgements.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2022
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Adam BulleyThe University of Sydney School of Psychology and Brain and Mind Centre, Sydney, NSW 2050, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-8014-0078
Karolina M LempertDepartment of Psychology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA.
Colin ConwellDepartment of Psychology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA.
Muireann IrishThe University of Sydney School of Psychology and Brain and Mind Centre, Sydney, NSW 2050, Australia.
Daniel L SchacterDepartment of Psychology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA.

Funding

Episodic Retrieval and Problem Solving in AgingR01AG008441 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF ARIZONA · PI SCHACTER, DANIEL L · 1989 to 2022
$3.1M
Contributions of episodic memory to intertemporal decision-making across adulthoodF32AG054032 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI LEMPERT, KAROLINA M · 2017 to 2019
$179k
NIA NIH HHS F32 AG054032NIA NIH HHS R01 AG008441
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Intertemporal decision-making has long been assumed to measure self-control, with prominent theories treating choices of smaller, sooner rewards as failed attempts to override immediate temptation. If this view is correct, people should be more confident in their intertemporal decisions when they 'successfully' delay gratification than when they do not. In two pre-registered experiments with built-in replication, adult participants (

Indexed as

Delay DiscountingRewardAdultChoice BehaviorForecastingHumansJudgmentMotivationconfidencedecision-makingintertemporal choicemetacognitionself-controlvalue-based choice

Identifiers

PMID36314145
PMCPMC9619231

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.