Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36312563›Full record

ArticleRoyal Society open science2022

Echo chambers and opinion dynamics explain the occurrence of vaccination hesitancy.

Johannes Müller, Aurélien Tellier, Michael Kurschilgen

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Royal Society open science, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.0field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 25 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Graph-Based Prediction of Spatio-Temporal Vaccine Hesitancy From Insurance Claims Data.IEEE access : practical innovations, open solutions · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Opinion Models, Election Data, and Political Theory.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Johannes MüllerCentre for Mathematical Sciences, Technische Universität München, Munchen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-5892-8598
Aurélien TellierSection of Population Genetics, Technische Universität München, Munchen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-8895-0785
Michael KurschilgenDepartment of Economics, UniDistance Suisse / FernUni Schweiz, Brig, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-6109-4969
Helmholtz Zentrum München · DETechnical University of Munich · DEUniDistance Suisse · CH

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Vaccination hesitancy is a major obstacle to achieving and maintaining herd immunity. Therefore, public health authorities need to understand the dynamics of an anti-vaccine opinion in the population. We introduce a spatially structured mathematical model of opinion dynamics with reinforcement. The model allows as an emergent property for the occurrence of echo chambers, i.e. opinion bubbles in which information that is incompatible with one's entrenched worldview, is probably disregarded. We scale the model both to a deterministic limit and to a weak-effects limit, and obtain bifurcations, phase transitions and the invariant measure. Fitting the model to measles and meningococci vaccination coverage across Germany, reveals that the emergence of echo chambers dynamics explains the occurrence and persistence of the anti-vaccination opinion in allowing anti-vaxxers to isolate and to ignore pro-vaccination facts. We predict and compare the effectiveness of different policies aimed at influencing opinion dynamics in order to increase vaccination uptake. According to our model, measures aiming at reducing the salience of partisan anti-vaccine information sources would have the largest effect on enhancing vaccination uptake. By contrast, measures aiming at reducing the reinforcement of vaccination deniers are predicted to have the smallest impact.

Indexed as

data analysisopinion dynamicsreinforcement modelvaccination hesitancy

Identifiers

PMID36312563
PMCPMC9554521
OpenAlexW4304787155

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.