Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36309507›Full record

ArticleNature communications2022

Tracing the international arrivals of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variants after Aotearoa New Zealand reopened its border.

Jordan Douglas, David Winter, Andrea McNeill, Sam Carr, Michael Bunce, Nigel French, James Hadfield, Joep de Ligt, David Welch, Jemma L Geoghegan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Modelling the impact of the Omicron BA.5 subvariant in New Zealand.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2023
    Article
  13. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Jordan DouglasCentre for Computational Evolution,School of Computer Science, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand. jordan.douglas@auckland.ac.nz.ORCID 0000-0003-0371-9961
David WinterInstitute of Environmental Science and Research, Wellington, New Zealand.
Andrea McNeillInstitute of Environmental Science and Research, Wellington, New Zealand.
Sam CarrInstitute of Environmental Science and Research, Wellington, New Zealand.
Michael BunceInstitute of Environmental Science and Research, Wellington, New Zealand.
Nigel FrenchTāwharau Ora/School of Veterinary Science, Massey University, Palmerston North, New Zealand.ORCID 0000-0002-6334-0657
James HadfieldFred Hutchinson Cancer Research Centre, Seattle, WA, USA.
Joep de LigtInstitute of Environmental Science and Research, Wellington, New Zealand.ORCID 0000-0002-0348-419X
David WelchCentre for Computational Evolution,School of Computer Science, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Jemma L GeogheganInstitute of Environmental Science and Research, Wellington, New Zealand.ORCID 0000-0003-0970-0153

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In the second quarter of 2022, there was a global surge of emergent SARS-CoV-2 lineages that had a distinct growth advantage over then-dominant Omicron BA.1 and BA.2 lineages. By generating 10,403 Omicron genomes, we show that Aotearoa New Zealand observed an influx of these immune-evasive variants (BA.2.12.1, BA.4, and BA.5) through the border. This is explained by the return to significant levels of international travel following the border's reopening in March 2022. We estimate one Omicron transmission event from the border to the community for every ~5,000 passenger arrivals at the current levels of travel and restriction. Although most of these introductions did not instigate any detected onward transmission, a small minority triggered large outbreaks. Genomic surveillance at the border provides a lens on the rate at which new variants might gain a foothold and trigger new waves of infection.

Indexed as

COVID-19SARS-CoV-2Disease OutbreaksHumansNew Zealand

Identifiers

PMID36309507
PMCPMC9617600

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.