Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36307547›Full record

ArticleNPJ digital medicine2022

Integrating Internet multisource big data to predict the occurrence and development of COVID-19 cryptic transmission.

Chengcheng Gao, Rui Zhang, Xicheng Chen, Tianhua Yao, Qiuyue Song, Wei Ye, PengPeng Li, Zhenyan Wang, Dong Yi, Yazhou Wu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NPJ digital medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Chengcheng Gao *Department of Health Statistics, College of Preventive Medicine, Army Medical University, Chongqing, 400038, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2067-9586
Rui Zhang *Department of Health Statistics, College of Preventive Medicine, Army Medical University, Chongqing, 400038, China.
Xicheng Chen *Department of Health Statistics, College of Preventive Medicine, Army Medical University, Chongqing, 400038, China.
Tianhua YaoDepartment of Health Statistics, College of Preventive Medicine, Army Medical University, Chongqing, 400038, China.
Qiuyue SongDepartment of Health Statistics, College of Preventive Medicine, Army Medical University, Chongqing, 400038, China.
Wei YeDepartment of Health Statistics, College of Preventive Medicine, Army Medical University, Chongqing, 400038, China.
PengPeng LiDepartment of Health Statistics, College of Preventive Medicine, Army Medical University, Chongqing, 400038, China.
Zhenyan WangDepartment of Health Statistics, College of Preventive Medicine, Army Medical University, Chongqing, 400038, China.
Dong YiDepartment of Health Statistics, College of Preventive Medicine, Army Medical University, Chongqing, 400038, China. yd_house@hotmail.com.
Yazhou WuDepartment of Health Statistics, College of Preventive Medicine, Army Medical University, Chongqing, 400038, China. asiawu@tmmu.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9521-2940

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) No. 81872716National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) No. 82173621Natural Science Foundation of Chongqing (Natural Science Foundation of Chongqing Municipality) Cstc2020jcyj-zdxmX0017
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

With the recent prevalence of COVID-19, cryptic transmission is worthy of attention and research. Early perception of the occurrence and development risk of cryptic transmission is an important part of controlling the spread of COVID-19. Previous relevant studies have limited data sources, and no effective analysis has been carried out on the occurrence and development of cryptic transmission. Hence, we collect Internet multisource big data (including retrieval, migration, and media data) and propose comprehensive and relative application strategies to eliminate the impact of national and media data. We use statistical classification and regression to construct an early warning model for occurrence and development. Under the guidance of the improved coronavirus herd immunity optimizer (ICHIO), we construct a "sampling-feature-hyperparameter-weight" synchronous optimization strategy. In occurrence warning, we propose an undersampling synchronous evolutionary ensemble (USEE); in development warning, we propose a bootstrap-sampling synchronous evolutionary ensemble (BSEE). Regarding the internal training data (Heilongjiang Province), the ROC-AUC of USEE3 incorporating multisource data is 0.9553, the PR-AUC is 0.8327, and the R

Identifiers

PMID36307547
PMCPMC9614204

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.