Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36305680›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2023

Polygenic risk of any, metastatic, and fatal prostate cancer in the Million Veteran Program.

Meghana S Pagadala, Julie Lynch, Roshan Karunamuni, Patrick R Alba, Kyung Min Lee, Fatai Y Agiri, Tori Anglin, Hannah Carter, J Michael Gaziano, Guneet Kaur Jasuja and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. Germline polygenic score for prostate cancer aggressiveness.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
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  13. Upgrading of Grade Group 1 Prostate Cancer at Prostatectomy: Germline Risk Factors in a Prospective Cohort.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Meghana S PagadalaResearch Service, VA San Diego Healthcare System, San Diego, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7591-6035
Julie LynchVA Informatics and Computing Infrastructure, VA Salt Lake City Healthcare System (VINCI), Salt Lake City, UT, USA.
Roshan KarunamuniDepartment of Radiation Medicine and Applied Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.
Patrick R AlbaVA Informatics and Computing Infrastructure, VA Salt Lake City Healthcare System (VINCI), Salt Lake City, UT, USA.
Kyung Min LeeVA Informatics and Computing Infrastructure, VA Salt Lake City Healthcare System (VINCI), Salt Lake City, UT, USA.
Fatai Y AgiriVA Informatics and Computing Infrastructure, VA Salt Lake City Healthcare System (VINCI), Salt Lake City, UT, USA.
Tori AnglinVA Informatics and Computing Infrastructure, VA Salt Lake City Healthcare System (VINCI), Salt Lake City, UT, USA.
Hannah CarterDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.
J Michael GazianoMassachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center (MAVERIC), VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA, USA.
Guneet Kaur JasujaCenter for Healthcare Organization and Implementation Research (CHOIR), VA Bedford Healthcare System, Bedford, MA, USA.
Rishi DekaResearch Service, VA San Diego Healthcare System, San Diego, CA, USA.
Brent S RoseResearch Service, VA San Diego Healthcare System, San Diego, CA, USA.
Matthew S PanizzonResearch Service, VA San Diego Healthcare System, San Diego, CA, USA.
Richard L HaugerResearch Service, VA San Diego Healthcare System, San Diego, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1509-1868
Tyler M SeibertResearch Service, VA San Diego Healthcare System, San Diego, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4089-7399

Funding

The VETSA Longitudinal Twin Study of Cognition and Aging (VETSA 4)R01AG050595 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI ELMAN, JEREMY A, FRANZ, CAROL ELAINE · 2015 to 2024
$28.0M
Predoctoral and Postdoctoral Training in Cancer Cell BiologyT32CA067754 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI JEAN Y.J. WANG · 1995 to 2026
$6.5M
Improving assessment of prostate cancer bone metastases using advanced diffusion imagingK08EB026503 · NIBIB · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI SEIBERT, TYLER MICHAEL · 2019 to 2022
$805k
Germline Determinants of the Breast Cancer Immune MicroenvironmentF30CA247168 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI PAGADALA, MEGHANA S. · 2020 to 2023
$170k
Clinical Manipulation of Testosterone and Its Impact on Dementia and HealthI01CX001727 · VA · VA SAN DIEGO HEALTHCARE SYSTEM · PI HAUGER, RICHARD L · 2019 to 2023
–
CSRD VA I01 CX001727NCI NIH HHS F30 CA247168NCI NIH HHS T32 CA067754NIA NIH HHS AG050595NIA NIH HHS R01 AG050595NIBIB NIH HHS #K08EB026503NIBIB NIH HHS K08 EB026503NIH HHS #1F30CA247168VA
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGenetic scores may provide an objective measure of prostate cancer risk and thus inform screening decisions. We evaluated whether a polygenic hazard score based on 290 genetic variants (PHS290) is associated with prostate cancer risk in a diverse population, including Black men, who have higher average risk of prostate cancer death but are often treated as a homogeneously high-risk group.

methodsThis was a retrospective analysis of the Million Veteran Program, a national, population-based cohort study of US military veterans conducted 2011-2021. Cox proportional hazards analyses tested for association of genetic and other risk factors (including self-reported race and ethnicity and family history) with age at death from prostate cancer, age at diagnosis of metastatic (nodal or distant) prostate cancer, and age at diagnosis of any prostate cancer.

resultsA total of 590 750 male participants were included. Median age at last follow-up was 69 years. PHS290 was associated with fatal prostate cancer in the full cohort and for each racial and ethnic group (P < .001). Comparing men in the highest 20% of PHS290 with those in the lowest 20% (based on percentiles from an independent training cohort), the hazard ratio for fatal prostate cancer was 4.42 (95% confidence interval = 3.91 to 5.02). When accounting for guideline-recommended risk factors (family history, race, and ethnicity), PHS290 remained a strong independent predictor of any, metastatic, and fatal prostate cancer.

conclusionsPHS290 stratified US veterans of diverse ancestry for lifetime risk of prostate cancer, including metastatic and fatal cancer. Predicting genetic risk of lethal prostate cancer with PHS290 might inform individualized decisions about prostate cancer screening.

Indexed as

Prostatic NeoplasmsVeteransAgedCohort StudiesEarly Detection of CancerHumansMaleProstate-Specific AntigenRetrospective StudiesProstate-Specific Antigen

Identifiers

PMID36305680
PMCPMC9905969

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.