Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36305315›Full record

ArticleLiver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver2023

Prison-based interventions are key to achieving HCV elimination among people who inject drugs in New South Wales, Australia: A modelling study.

Jack Stone, Aaron G Lim, Gregory J Dore, Annick Borquez, Louise Geddes, Richard Gray, Jason Grebely, Bezhad Hajarizadeh, Jenny Iversen, Lisa Maher and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  7. Cost-benefit analysis of Canada's Prison Needle Exchange Program for the prevention of hepatitis C and injection-related infections.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2024
    Article
  8. Article
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  12. The path to hepatitis C elimination: who are we leaving behind and why?Journal of the International AIDS Society · 2023
    Article
  13. Prison-based interventions are key to achieving HCV elimination among people who inject drugs in New South Wales, Australia: A modelling study.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Jack StonePopulation Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4584-0068
Aaron G LimPopulation Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-3141-7496
Gregory J DoreThe Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-4741-2622
Annick BorquezDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California, San Diego, California, USA.
Louise GeddesThe Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Richard GrayThe Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Jason GrebelyThe Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Bezhad HajarizadehThe Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Jenny IversenThe Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Lisa MaherThe Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Heather ValerioThe Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Natasha K MartinDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California, San Diego, California, USA.
Matthew HickmanPopulation Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9864-459X
Andrew R LloydThe Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Peter VickermanPopulation Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8291-5890

Funding

UC San Diego Clinical and Translational Research InstituteUL1TR001442 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI FIRESTEIN, GARY S, HOGARTH, MICHAEL · 2015 to 2024
$88.3M
VirologyP30AI036214 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI David Mitchell Smith · 1994 to 2026
$78.4M
Real-time prediction of emerging drug use epidemics in the United StatesDP2DA049295 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI BORQUEZ, ANNICK · 2019 to 2019
$2.4M
Medical Research Council MR/N00616X/1NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001442NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI036214NIDA NIH HHS DP2 DA049295
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND &

aimsPeople who inject drugs (PWID) experience high incarceration rates which are associated with increased hepatitis C virus (HCV) transmission risk. We assess the importance of prison-based interventions for achieving HCV elimination among PWID in New South Wales (NSW), Australia.

methodsA model of incarceration and HCV transmission among PWID was calibrated in a Bayesian framework to epidemiological and incarceration data from NSW, incorporating elevated HCV acquisition risk among recently released PWID. We projected the contribution of differences in transmission risk during/following incarceration to HCV transmission over 2020-2029. We estimated the past and potential future impact of prison-based opioid agonist therapy (OAT; ~33% coverage) and HCV treatment (1500 treatments in 2019 with 32.9%-83.3% among PWID) on HCV transmission. We estimated the time until HCV incidence reduces by 80% (WHO elimination target) compared to 2016 levels with or without prison-based interventions.

resultsOver 2020-2029, incarceration will contribute 23.0% (17.9-30.5) of new HCV infections. If prison-based interventions had not been implemented since 2010, HCV incidence in 2020 would have been 29.7% (95% credibility interval: 22.4-36.1) higher. If current prison and community HCV treatment rates continue, there is an 98.8% probability that elimination targets will be achieved by 2030, with this decreasing to 10.1% without current prison-based interventions.

conclusionsExisting prison-based interventions in NSW are critical components of strategies to reduce HCV incidence among PWID. Prison-based interventions are likely to be pivotal for achieving HCV elimination targets among PWID by 2030.

Indexed as

Drug UsersHepatitis CSubstance Abuse, IntravenousAntiviral AgentsAustraliaBayes TheoremHepacivirusHumansNew South WalesPrisonsAntiviral Agentseliminationhepatitis C virusincarcerationpeople who inject drugs

Identifiers

PMID36305315
PMCPMC10308445

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.