Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36303473›Full record

ArticleJournal of neurosurgery2023

Supervised machine learning algorithms demonstrate proliferation index correlates with long-term recurrence after complete resection of WHO grade I meningioma.

Minh P Nguyen, Ramin A Morshed, Cecilia L Dalle Ore, Daniel D Cummins, Satvir Saggi, William C Chen, Abrar Choudhury, Akshay Ravi, David R Raleigh, Stephen T Magill and 2 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of neurosurgery, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 12 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Minh P Nguyen1Department of Neurological Surgery, University of California, San Francisco.
Ramin A Morshed1Department of Neurological Surgery, University of California, San Francisco.
Cecilia L Dalle Ore1Department of Neurological Surgery, University of California, San Francisco.
Daniel D Cummins1Department of Neurological Surgery, University of California, San Francisco.
Satvir Saggi1Department of Neurological Surgery, University of California, San Francisco.
William C Chen3Department of Radiation Oncology, University of California, San Francisco.
Abrar Choudhury2School of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco.
Akshay Ravi4Department of Hospital Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, California.
David R Raleigh3Department of Radiation Oncology, University of California, San Francisco.
Stephen T Magill5Department of Neurological Surgery, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois; and.
Michael W McDermott6Division of Neurosurgery, Miami Neuroscience Institute, Miami, Florida.
Philip V Theodosopoulos1Department of Neurological Surgery, University of California, San Francisco.
University of California, San Francisco · USNeurological Surgery · US

Funding

Understanding druggable drivers of meningioma tumorigenesisR01CA262311 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI RALEIGH, DAVID R · 2021 to 2025
$2.7M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA262311
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveMeningiomas are the most common primary intracranial tumor, and resection is a mainstay of treatment. It is unclear what duration of imaging follow-up is reasonable for WHO grade I meningiomas undergoing complete resection. This study examined recurrence rates, timing of recurrence, and risk factors for recurrence in patients undergoing a complete resection (as defined by both postoperative MRI and intraoperative impression) of WHO grade I meningiomas.

methodsThe authors conducted a retrospective, single-center study examining recurrence risk for adult patients with a single intracranial meningioma that underwent complete resection. Uni- and multivariate nominal logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards analyses were performed to identify variables associated with recurrence and time to recurrence. Two supervised machine learning algorithms were then implemented to confirm factors within the cohort that were associated with recurrence.

resultsThe cohort consisted of 823 patients who met inclusion criteria, and 56 patients (6.8%) had recurrence on imaging follow-up. The median age of the cohort was 56 years, and 77.4% of patients were female. The median duration of head imaging follow-up for the entire cohort was 2.7 years, but for the subgroup of patients who had a recurrence, the median follow-up was 10.1 years. Estimated 1-, 5-, 10-, and 15-year recurrence-free survival rates were 99.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] 98.8%-99.9%), 91.0% (95% CI 87.7%-93.6%), 83.6% (95% CI 78.6%-87.6%), and 77.3% (95% CI 69.7%-83.4%), respectively, for the entire cohort. On multivariate analysis, MIB-1 index (odds ratio [OR] per 1% increase: 1.34, 95% CI 1.13-1.58, p = 0.0003) and follow-up duration (OR per year: 1.12, 95% CI 1.03-1.21, p = 0.012) were both associated with recurrence. Gradient-boosted decision tree and random forest analyses both identified MIB-1 index as the main factor associated with recurrence, aside from length of imaging follow-up. For tumors with an MIB-1 index < 8, recurrences were documented up to 8 years after surgery. For tumors with an MIB-1 index ≥ 8, recurrences were documented up to 12 years following surgery.

conclusionsLong-term imaging follow-up is important even after a complete resection of a meningioma. Higher MIB-1 labeling index is associated with greater risk of recurrence. Imaging screening for at least 8 years in patients with an MIB-1 index < 8 and at least 12 years for those with an MIB-1 index ≥ 8 may be needed to detect long-term recurrences.

Indexed as

Meningeal NeoplasmsMeningiomaAdultAlgorithmsCell ProliferationHumansMiddle AgedNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalRetrospective StudiesWorld Health Organizationcomplete resectiongross-total resectionKi-67meningiomaMIB-1oncologyrecurrence

Identifiers

PMID36303473
PMCPMC10326725
OpenAlexW4284894660

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.