Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36303404›Full record

SynthesisEuropean heart journal2023

Growth differentiation factor 15 and cardiovascular risk: individual patient meta-analysis.

Eri Toda Kato, David A Morrow, Jianping Guo, David D Berg, Michael A Blazing, Erin A Bohula, Marc P Bonaca, Christopher P Cannon, James A de Lemos, Robert P Giugliano and 10 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in European heart journal, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 66 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
66citing papers in PubMed
13.4field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

66 citing papers in PubMed, 90 citations in OpenAlex.

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  12. Blood Biomarkers and the Risk of Coronary Disease in Atrial Fibrillation.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2026
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6 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors at 7 institutions in 3 countries.

Eri Toda KatoDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine and Department of Clinical Laboratory, Kyoto University Hospital, 54 Shogoin-kawahara-cho, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto 606-8507, Japan.
David A MorrowTIMI Study Group, 60 Fenwood Road, 7th floor, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Jianping GuoTIMI Study Group, 60 Fenwood Road, 7th floor, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
David D BergTIMI Study Group, 60 Fenwood Road, 7th floor, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Michael A BlazingDuke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University, 300 W. Morris Street, Durham, NC 27701, USA.
Erin A BohulaTIMI Study Group, 60 Fenwood Road, 7th floor, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Marc P BonacaCardiovascular Division, Department of Medicine, University of Colorado School of Medicine, 13001 East 17th PIace, Aurora, CO 80045, USA.
Christopher P CannonCardiovascular Division, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, 75 Francis Street, Boston, MA 02115, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4596-2791
James A de LemosDivision of Cardiology, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, 5323 Harry Hines Blvd, Dallas, TX 75390-9003, USA.
Robert P GiuglianoTIMI Study Group, 60 Fenwood Road, 7th floor, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Petr JarolimDepartment of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, 75 Francis Street, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Tibor KempfDivision of Molecular and Translational Cardiology, Department of Cardiology and Angiology, Hannover Medical School, Carl-Neuberg-Str, 1. D-30625 Hannover, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-6901-8442
L Kristin NewbyDuke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University, 300 W. Morris Street, Durham, NC 27701, USA.
Michelle L O'DonoghueTIMI Study Group, 60 Fenwood Road, 7th floor, Boston, MA 02115, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8663-0067
Marc A PfefferCardiovascular Division, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, 75 Francis Street, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Nader RifaiDepartment of Pathology, Boston Children's Hospital, 300 Longwood Avenue, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Stephen D WiviottTIMI Study Group, 60 Fenwood Road, 7th floor, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Kai C WollertDivision of Molecular and Translational Cardiology, Department of Cardiology and Angiology, Hannover Medical School, Carl-Neuberg-Str, 1. D-30625 Hannover, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-4890-4450
Eugene BraunwaldTIMI Study Group, 60 Fenwood Road, 7th floor, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Marc S SabatineTIMI Study Group, 60 Fenwood Road, 7th floor, Boston, MA 02115, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0691-3359
Brigham and Women's Hospital · USDuke University · USMedizinische Hochschule Hannover · DEBoston Children's Hospital · USKyoto University Hospital · JPThe University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center · USUniversity of Colorado Denver · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsLevels of growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15), a cytokine secreted in response to cellular stress and inflammation, have been associated with multiple types of cardiovascular (CV) events. However, its comparative prognostic performance across different presentations of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) remains unknown. METHODS AND

resultsAn individual patient meta-analysis was performed using data pooled from eight trials including 53 486 patients. Baseline GDF-15 concentration was analyzed as a continuous variable and using established cutpoints (<1200 ng/L, 1200-1800 ng/L, > 1800 ng/L) to evaluate its prognostic performance for CV death/hospitalization for heart failure (HHF), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and their components using Cox models adjusted for clinical variables and established CV biomarkers. Analyses were further stratified on ASCVD status: acute coronary syndrome (ACS), stabilized after recent ACS, and stable ASCVD. Overall, higher GDF-15 concentration was significantly and independently associated with an increased rate of CV death/HHF and MACE (P < 0.001 for each). However, while GDF-15 showed a robust and consistent independent association with CV death and HHF across all presentations of ASCVD, its prognostic association with future myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke only remained significant in patients stabilized after recent ACS or with stable ASCVD [hazard ratio (HR): 1.24, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.17-1.31 and HR: 1.16, 95% CI: 1.05-1.28 for MI and stroke, respectively] and not in ACS (HR: 0.98, 95% CI: 0.90-1.06 and HR: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.39-1.92, respectively).

conclusionGrowth differentiation factor 15 consistently adds prognostic information for CV death and HHF across the spectrum of ASCVD. GDF-15 also adds prognostic information for MI and stroke beyond clinical risk factors and cardiac biomarkers but not in the setting of ACS.

Indexed as

Acute Coronary SyndromeAtherosclerosisCardiovascular DiseasesHeart FailureMyocardial InfarctionStrokeBiomarkersGrowth Differentiation Factor 15Heart Disease Risk FactorsHumansRisk FactorsBiomarkersGrowth Differentiation Factor 15ASCVDBiomarkerGDF-15MIStroke

Identifiers

PMID36303404
PMCPMC10066747
OpenAlexW4307451767

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.