ArticleScientific reports2022
Sars-Cov2 world pandemic recurrent waves controlled by variants evolution and vaccination campaign.
Article in Scientific reports, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.
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Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed.
- Seasonal forcing and waning immunity drive the sub-annual periodicity of the COVID-19 epidemic.PLoS pathogens · 2026Article
- CT-based phenotyping of COVID-19: cluster analysis of pulmonary and extrapulmonary imaging markers from a multicentre retrospective cohort study.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Impact of opinion dynamics on recurrent pandemic waves: balancing risk aversion and peer pressure.Interface focus · 2025Article
- Article
- Nonlinear time series analysis of state-wise COVID-19 in Malaysia using wavelet and persistent homology.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Risk perception as a motivational resource during the COVID-19 pandemic: the role of vaccination status and emerging variants.BMC public health · 2024Article
- Systematic Guidelines for Effective Utilization of COVID-19 Databases in Genomic, Epidemiologic, and Clinical Research.Viruses · 2023Review
- Seasonality of COVID-19 incidence in the United States.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Persistence of the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 in Australia: The impact of fluctuating social distancing.PLOS global public health · 2023Article
- COVID-19 outcomes in patients with a history of immune-mediated glomerular diseases.Frontiers in immunology · 2023Article
- Editorial: Neurotological consequences of long COVID.Frontiers in neurology · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
While understanding the time evolution of Covid-19 pandemic is needed to plan economics and tune sanitary policies, a quantitative information of the recurrent epidemic waves is elusive. This work describes a statistical physics study of the subsequent waves in the epidemic spreading of Covid-19 and disclose the frequency components of the epidemic waves pattern over two years in United States, United Kingdom and Japan. These countries have been taken as representative cases of different containment policies such as "Mitigation" (USA and UK) and "Zero Covid" (Japan) policies. The supercritical phases in spreading have been identified by intervals with RIC-index > 0. We have used the wavelet transform of infection and fatality waves to get the spectral analysis showing a dominant component around 130 days. Data of the world dynamic clearly indicates also the crossover to a different phase due to the enforcement of vaccination campaign. In Japan and United Kingdom, we observed the emergence in the infection waves of a long period component (~ 170 days) during vaccination campaign. These results indicate slowing down of the epidemic spreading dynamics due to the vaccination campaign. Finally, we find an intrinsic difference between infection and fatality waves pointing to a non-trivial variation of the lethality due to different gene variants.
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