ReviewPhilosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences2022
Global drought trends and future projections.
Review in Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
30 citing papers in PubMed, 294 citations in OpenAlex.
- Soil Biodiversity Supports Agroecosystem Services Under Multiple Global Change Factors.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Vegetation sensitivity to drought depends on bedrock type in a subtropical karst landscape in Southwest China.Plant diversity · 2026Article
- Aridity and drought: distinct concepts often conflated in ecological research.The New phytologist · 2026Review
- Impact of emerging compound droughts on forests: A water supply and demand perspective.Plant biology (Stuttgart, Germany) · 2026Review
- Bumble bee communities exhibit delayed recovery following severe drought in rangeland.Environmental entomology · 2026Article
- Quantitative risk assessment for the compound drought-wildfire disaster.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Global risk pooling mitigates financial risk from drought in hydropower-dependent countries.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Article
- The fungal volatile organic compound 6-pentyl-alpha-pyrone primes dwarf bean for enhanced drought tolerance.Frontiers in plant science · 2026Article
- Global irrigation reservoirs are at a higher risk of water shortages.Communications earth & environment · 2026Article
- Regional Emergence of Water-Related Browning in a Greening World.Global change biology · 2025Article
- The effects of drought on Sphagnum moss species and the implications for hydrology in peatlands.The New phytologist · 2025Review
- Long-Term Temporal Divergence in Post-Drought Resilience Decline Between Deciduous and Evergreen Tree Species.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Intermediate Habitat Fragmentation Buffers Droughts: How Individual Energy Dynamics Mediate Mammal Community Response to Stressors.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Inducing Drought Resilience in Maize Through Encapsulated Bacteria: Physiological and Biochemical Adaptations.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Spectral light quality regulates photosynthesis and thylakoidal protein complexes to improve drought tolerance in okra rootstocks.Frontiers in plant science · 2025Article
- Physiological response mechanism ofPeerJ · 2025Article
- Anthropogenic warming has ushered in an era of temperature-dominated droughts in the western United States.Science advances · 2024Article
- Improving maize yield and drought tolerance in field conditions through activated biochar application.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- A Moderate Water Deficit Induces Profound Changes in the Proteome of Developing Maize Ovaries.Biomolecules · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
8 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Drought is one of the most difficult natural hazards to quantify and is divided into categories (meteorological, agricultural, ecological and hydrological), which makes assessing recent changes and future scenarios extremely difficult. This opinion piece includes a review of the recent scientific literature on the topic and analyses trends in meteorological droughts by using long-term precipitation records and different drought metrics to evaluate the role of global warming processes in trends of agricultural, hydrological and ecological drought severity over the last four decades, during which a sharp increase in atmospheric evaporative demand (AED) has been recorded. Meteorological droughts do not show any substantial changes at the global scale in at least the last 120 years, but an increase in the severity of agricultural and ecological droughts seems to emerge as a consequence of the increase in the severity of AED. Lastly, this study evaluates drought projections from earth system models and focuses on the most important aspects that need to be considered when evaluating drought processes in a changing climate, such as the use of different metrics and the uncertainty of modelling approaches. This article is part of the Royal Society Science+ meeting issue 'Drought risk in the Anthropocene'.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.