Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36299455›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in endocrinology2022

Machine learning-based dynamic prediction of lateral lymph node metastasis in patients with papillary thyroid cancer.

Sheng-Wei Lai, Yun-Long Fan, Yu-Hua Zhu, Fei Zhang, Zheng Guo, Bing Wang, Zheng Wan, Pei-Lin Liu, Ning Yu, Han-Dai Qin

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in endocrinology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.7field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 37 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. [Efficacy analysis of gasless robotic surgery via transaxillary approach for unilateral N1b PTC].Lin chuang er bi yan hou tou jing wai ke za zhi = Journal of clinical otorhinolaryngology head and neck surgery · 2025
    Article
  4. Diagnostic Value of [Molecular imaging and biology · 2025
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  5. Article
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  8. Review
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  10. Article
  11. Prediction of lateral lymph node metastasis with short diameter less than 8 mm in papillary thyroid carcinoma based on radiomics.Cancer imaging : the official publication of the International Cancer Imaging Society · 2024
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Nomogram for preoperative estimation risk of lateral cervical lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma: a multicenter study.Cancer imaging : the official publication of the International Cancer Imaging Society · 2023
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Sheng-Wei LaiMedical School of Chinese PLA, Beijing, China.
Yun-Long FanMedical School of Chinese PLA, Beijing, China.
Yu-Hua ZhuDepartment of Otolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, The First Medical Centre of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China.
Fei ZhangMedical School of Chinese PLA, Beijing, China.
Zheng GuoMedical School of Chinese PLA, Beijing, China.
Bing WangDepartment of General Surgery, The First Medical Centre of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China.
Zheng WanDepartment of General Surgery, The First Medical Centre of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China.
Pei-Lin LiuThe Third Team, Academy of Basic Medicine, The Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Ning YuDepartment of Otolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, The First Medical Centre of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China.
Han-Dai QinMedical School of Chinese PLA, Beijing, China.
PLA Academy of Military Science · CNChinese PLA General Hospital · CNAir Force Medical University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: To develop a web-based machine learning server to predict lateral lymph node metastasis (LLNM) in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) patients. Methods: Clinical data for PTC patients who underwent primary thyroidectomy at our hospital between January 2015 and December 2020, with pathologically confirmed presence or absence of any LLNM finding, were retrospectively reviewed. We built all models from a training set (80%) and assessed them in a test set (20%), using algorithms including decision tree, XGBoost, random forest, support vector machine, neural network, and K-nearest neighbor algorithm. Their performance was measured against a previously established nomogram using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), decision curve analysis (DCA), precision, recall, accuracy, F1 score, specificity, and sensitivity. Interpretable machine learning was used for identifying potential relationships between variables and LLNM, and a web-based tool was created for use by clinicians. Results: A total of 1135 (62.53%) out of 1815 PTC patients enrolled in this study experienced LLNM episodes. In predicting LLNM, the best algorithm was random forest. In determining feature importance, the AUC reached 0.80, with an accuracy of 0.74, sensitivity of 0.89, and F1 score of 0.81. In addition, DCA showed that random forest held a higher clinical net benefit. Random forest identified tumor size, lymph node microcalcification, age, lymph node size, and tumor location as the most influentials in predicting LLNM. And the website tool is freely accessible at http://43.138.62.202/. Conclusion: The results showed that machine learning can be used to enable accurate prediction for LLNM in PTC patients, and that the web tool allowed for LLNM risk assessment at the individual level.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, PapillaryThyroid NeoplasmsHumansLymphatic MetastasisLymph NodesMachine LearningRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsThyroid Cancer, Papillarycentral lymph node metastasisdynamic predictionfeature selectionmachine learningmodel interpretationpapillary thyroid cancer

Identifiers

PMID36299455
PMCPMC9589512
OpenAlexW4303981492

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.