Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36289201›Full record

ArticleNature communications2022

Drivers of global mangrove loss and gain in social-ecological systems.

Valerie Hagger, Thomas A Worthington, Catherine E Lovelock, Maria Fernanda Adame, Tatsuya Amano, Benjamin M Brown, Daniel A Friess, Emily Landis, Peter J Mumby, Tiffany H Morrison and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed.

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  14. Tree Weights ofPlant-environment interactions (Hoboken, N.J.) · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Valerie HaggerSchool of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia. v.hagger@uq.edu.au.ORCID 0000-0001-8408-8449
Thomas A WorthingtonConservation Science Group, Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8138-9075
Catherine E LovelockSchool of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-2219-6855
Maria Fernanda AdameAustralian Rivers Institute, Centre for Marine and Coastal Research, Griffith University, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-9620-9252
Tatsuya AmanoSchool of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-6576-3410
Benjamin M BrownResearch Institute for Environment & Livelihoods, Charles Darwin University, Darwin, NT, Australia.
Daniel A FriessDepartment of Geography, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Republic of Singapore.
Emily LandisThe Nature Conservancy, Arlington, VA, USA.
Peter J MumbySchool of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-6297-9053
Tiffany H MorrisonAustralian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Townsville, QLD, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-5433-037X
Katherine R O'BrienSchool of Chemical Engineering, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-8972-9161
Kerrie A WilsonQueensland University of Technology, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.
Chris ZganjarThe Nature Conservancy, Arlington, VA, USA.
Megan I SaundersCoasts and Ocean Research Program, Oceans and Atmosphere, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, St Lucia, QLD, Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Mangrove forests store high amounts of carbon, protect communities from storms, and support fisheries. Mangroves exist in complex social-ecological systems, hence identifying socioeconomic conditions associated with decreasing losses and increasing gains remains challenging albeit important. The impact of national governance and conservation policies on mangrove conservation at the landscape-scale has not been assessed to date, nor have the interactions with local economic pressures and biophysical drivers. Here, we assess the relationship between socioeconomic and biophysical variables and mangrove change across coastal geomorphic units worldwide from 1996 to 2016. Globally, we find that drivers of loss can also be drivers of gain, and that drivers have changed over 20 years. The association with economic growth appears to have reversed, shifting from negatively impacting mangroves in the first decade to enabling mangrove expansion in the second decade. Importantly, we find that community forestry is promoting mangrove expansion, whereas conversion to agriculture and aquaculture, often occurring in protected areas, results in high loss. Sustainable development, community forestry, and co-management of protected areas are promising strategies to reverse mangrove losses, increasing the capacity of mangroves to support human-livelihoods and combat climate change.

Indexed as

EcosystemWetlandsCarbonClimate ChangeConservation of Natural ResourcesForestryHumansCarbon

Identifiers

PMID36289201
PMCPMC9606261

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.