Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36281905›Full record

ArticleGlobal spine journal2024

Machine Learning Predict Survivals of Spinal and Pelvic Ewing's Sarcoma with the SEER Database.

Guoxin Fan, Sheng Yang, Jiaqi Qin, Longfei Huang, Yufeng Li, Huaqing Liu, Xiang Liao

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global spine journal, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Guoxin FanNational Key Clinical Pain Medicine of China, Huazhong University of Science and Technology Union Shenzhen Hospital, China.
Sheng YangDepartment of Orthopedics, Shanghai Tenth Peoples Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, China.
Jiaqi QinArtificial Intelligence Innovation Center, Research Institute of Tsinghua, Pearl River Delta, China.
Longfei HuangDepartment of Orthopedics, Nanchang Hongdu Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, China.
Yufeng LiDepartment of Sports Medicine, The Eighth Affiliated Hospital Sun Yat-sen University, China.
Huaqing LiuArtificial Intelligence Innovation Center, Research Institute of Tsinghua, Pearl River Delta, China.ORCID 0000-0001-7492-9275
Xiang LiaoNational Key Clinical Pain Medicine of China, Huazhong University of Science and Technology Union Shenzhen Hospital, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

STUDY

designRetrospective Cohort Study.

objectivesThis study aimed to develop survival prediction models for spinal Ewing's sarcoma (EWS) based on machine learning (ML).

methodsWe extracted the SEER registry's clinical data of EWS diagnosed between 1975 and 2016. Three feature selection methods extracted clinical features. Four ML algorithms (Cox, random survival forest (RSF), CoxBoost, DeepCox) were trained to predict the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of spinal EWS. The concordance index (C-index), integrated Brier score (IBS) and mean area under the curves (AUC) were used to assess the prediction performance of different ML models. The top initial ML models with best performance from each evaluation index (C-index, IBS and mean AUC) were finally stacked to ensemble models which were compared with the traditional TNM stage model by 3-/5-/10-year Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves and Decision Curve Analysis (DCA).

resultsA total of 741 patients with spinal EWS were identified. C-index, IBS and mean AUC for the final ensemble ML model in predicting OS were .693/0.158/0.829 during independent testing, while .719/0.171/0.819 in predicting CSS. The ensemble ML model also achieved an AUC of .705/0.747/0.851 for predicting 3-/5-/10-year OS during independent testing, while .734/0.779/0.830 for predicting 3-/5-/10-year CSS, both of which outperformed the traditional TNM stage. DCA curves also showed the advantages of the ensemble models over the traditional TNM stage.

conclusionML was an effective and promising technique in predicting survival of spinal EWS, and the ensemble models were superior to the traditional TNM stage model.

Indexed as

Deep learningEwing’s sarcomaMachine learningSpinal cancerSurvival prediction

Identifiers

PMID36281905
PMCPMC11289541

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.