Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36281336›Full record

ArticleJournal of hepatocellular carcinoma2022

Incidence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Decompensated Liver Cirrhosis and Prognostic Accuracy of the PAGE-B HCC Risk Score in a Low Endemic Hepatitis B Virus Infected Population.

Signe Bollerup, Frederik Engsig, Sofie Hallager, Amanda Mocroft, Birgit T Roege, Peer B Christensen, Alex L Laursen, Henrik Krarup, Mette R Clausen, Peter Thielsen and 9 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of hepatocellular carcinoma, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
0.6field-weighted citation impact, top 31% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors at 9 institutions in 3 countries.

Signe BollerupDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Copenhagen University Hospital, Hvidovre, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0001-9604-4582
Frederik EngsigDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Copenhagen University Hospital, Hvidovre, Denmark.
Sofie HallagerDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Copenhagen University Hospital, Hvidovre, Denmark.
Amanda MocroftCentre for Clinical Research, Epidemiology, Modelling and Evaluation (CREME), Institute for Global Health, UCL, London, England.
Birgit T RoegeDepartment of Internal Medicine, Kolding Hospital, Kolding, Denmark.
Peer B ChristensenDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark.
Alex L LaursenDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.
Henrik KrarupDepartment of Molecular Diagnostics, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0001-5294-2428
Mette R ClausenDepartment of Medical Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Copenhagen University Hospital, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0003-2367-7498
Peter ThielsenDepartment of Gastroenterology, Herlev Hospital, Herlev, Denmark.
Lone G MadsenDepartment of Medical Gastroenterology, Zealand University Hospital, Koege, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-3027-3996
Lars NoerregaardDepartment of Lung- and Infectious Diseases, North Zealand Hospital, Hilleroed, Denmark.
Toke S BarfodDepartment of Internal Medicine and Infectious Diseases, Zealand University Hospital, Roskilde, Denmark.
Ulla BalslevDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Herlev Hospital, Herlev, Denmark.
Britta TarpDiagnostic Centre, University Research Clinic for Innovative Patient Pathways, Silkeborg Regional Hospital, Silkeborg, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0003-3611-4440
Jesper B HansenDepartment of Medical Gastroenterology, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg, Denmark.
Lone H MygindDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg, Denmark.
Jan GerstoftDepartment of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Nina WeisDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Copenhagen University Hospital, Hvidovre, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-3133-2724
Copenhagen University Hospital · DKAalborg University Hospital · DKUniversity of Copenhagen · DKHerlev Hospital · DKZealand University Hospital · DKAarhus University Hospital · DKKolding Hospital · DKRegionshospitalet Silkeborg · DKUniversity of Southern Denmark · DK

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Purpose: We aimed to determine incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and decompensated liver cirrhosis in persons with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in Denmark stratified by disease phase, liver cirrhosis, and treatment status at baseline. Additionally, we aimed to assess the prognostic value of the PAGE-B HCC risk score in a mainly non-cirrhotic population. Patients and Methods: In this register-based cohort study, we included all individuals over the age of 18, with chronic HBV infection first registered between 2002 and 2016 in at least one of three nationwide registers. The study population was followed until HCC, decompensated liver cirrhosis, death, emigration, or December 31, 2017, which ever came first. Results: Among 6016 individuals included in the study, 10 individuals with and 23 without baseline liver cirrhosis developed HCC during a median follow up of 7.3 years (range 0.0-15.5). This corresponded to five-year cumulative incidences of 7.1% (95% confidence interval (CI) 2.0-12.3) and 0.2% (95% CI 0.1-0.4) in persons with and without baseline liver cirrhosis. The five-year cumulative incidence of decompensated liver cirrhosis was 0.7% (95% CI 0.5-1.0). Among 2038 evaluated for liver events stratified by disease phase, incidence of HCC was low in all who were non-cirrhotic and untreated for HBV at baseline. PAGE-B score was evaluated in 1529 persons. The 5-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 0, 0.8 (95% CI 0.5-1.8), and 8.7 (95% CI 1.0-16.4) in persons scoring <10, 10-17 and >17, respectively (c-statistic 0.91 (95% CI 0.84-0.98)). Conclusion: We found low incidence of HCC and decompensated liver cirrhosis in persons with chronic HBV infection in Denmark. Moreover, the PAGE-B score showed good accuracy for five-year risk of developing HCC in the population with chronic HBV infection in Denmark.

Indexed as

hepatitis B virusmorbiditynationwideScandinaviaviral hepatitis

Identifiers

PMID36281336
PMCPMC9587738
OpenAlexW4306664823

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.