Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36277990›Full record

ArticleExpert systems with applications2023

COVID-19 forecasting using shifted Gaussian Mixture Model with similarity-based estimation.

Emre Külah, Yusuf Mücahit Çetinkaya, Arif Görkem Özer, Hande Alemdar

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Expert systems with applications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Emre KülahDepartment of Computer Engineering, Middle East Technical University, Cankaya 06800, Ankara, Turkey.
Yusuf Mücahit ÇetinkayaDepartment of Computer Engineering, Middle East Technical University, Cankaya 06800, Ankara, Turkey.
Arif Görkem ÖzerDepartment of Computer Engineering, Middle East Technical University, Cankaya 06800, Ankara, Turkey.
Hande AlemdarDepartment of Computer Engineering, Middle East Technical University, Cankaya 06800, Ankara, Turkey.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused a pronounced disturbance in the social environments and economies of many countries worldwide. Credible forecasting methods to predict the pandemic's progress can allow countries to control the disease's spread and decrease the number of severe cases. This study presents a novel approach, called the Shifted Gaussian Mixture Model with Similarity-based Estimation (SGSE), that forecasts the future of a specific country's daily new case values by examining similar behavior in other countries. The model uses daily new case values collected since the pandemic began and finds countries with similar trends using a specific time offset. The daily new case values data between the first day and

Indexed as

COVID-19Gaussian mixture modelsSimilarity-based estimationTime-series dataTrend similarity score

Identifiers

PMID36277990
PMCPMC9576929

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.