Radiomics features based on internal and marginal areas of the tumor for the preoperative prediction of microsatellite instability status in colorectal cancer.

Objectives: To explore whether the preoperative CT radiomics can predict the status of microsatellite instability (MSI) in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients and identify the region with the most stable and high-efficiency radiomics features. Methods: This retrospective study involved 230 CRC patients with preoperative computed tomography scans and available MSI status between December 2019 and October 2021. Image segmentation and radiomic feature extraction were performed as follows. First, slices with the maximum tumor area (region of interest, ROI) were manually contoured. Subsequently, each ROI was shrunk inward by 1, 2, and 3 mm, respectively, where the remaining ROIs were considered as the internal region of the tumor (named as IROI1, IROI2, and IROI3), and the shrunk regions were considered as marginal regions of the tumor (named as MROI1, MROI2, and MROI3). Finally, radiomics features were extracted from each of the ROI. The intraclass correlation coefficient and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method were used to choose the most reliable and relevant features of MSI status. Clinical, radiomics, and combined clinical radiomics models have been established. Calibration curve and decision curve analyses (DCA) were generated to explore the correction effect and assess the clinical applicability of the above models, respectively. Results: In the testing cohort, the radiomics model based on IROI3 yielded the highest average area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.908, compared with the remaining radiomics models. Additionally, hypertension and N stage were considered as clinically independent factors of MSI status. The combined clinical radiomics model achieved excellent diagnostic efficacy (AUC: 0.928; sensitivity: 0.840; specificity: 0.867) in the testing cohort, as well as favorable calibration and clinical utility by calibration curve and DCA analyses. Conclusions: The IROI3 model, which is based on a 3-mm shrink in the largest areas of the tumor, could noninvasively reflect the heterogeneity and genetic instability within the tumor. This suggests that it is an important biomarker for the preoperative prediction of MSI status. The model can extract more robust and effective radiomics features, which lays a foundation for the radiomics study of hollow organs, such as in CRC.