Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36275859›Full record

ArticleJournal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology2022

Efficient Evaluation of Prediction Rules in Semi-Supervised Settings under Stratified Sampling.

Jessica Gronsbell, Molei Liu, Lu Tian, Tianxi Cai

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Semi-supervised Triply Robust Inductive Transfer Learning.Journal of the American Statistical Association · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Semi-supervised ROC analysis for reliable and streamlined evaluation of phenotyping algorithms.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2024
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Machine learning approaches for electronic health records phenotyping: a methodical review.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2023
    Article
  12. Review
  13. Efficient Evaluation of Prediction Rules in Semi-Supervised Settings under Stratified Sampling.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Jessica GronsbellJessica Gronsbell is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON M5S 3G3, CA Molei Liu is a Ph.D. student in the Department of Biostatistics, Harvard University, Boston, MA 02115, USA Lu Tian is an Associate Professor, Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, California 94305, U.S.A Tianxi Cai is a Professor, Department of Biostatistics, Harvard University, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Molei LiuJessica Gronsbell is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON M5S 3G3, CA Molei Liu is a Ph.D. student in the Department of Biostatistics, Harvard University, Boston, MA 02115, USA Lu Tian is an Associate Professor, Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, California 94305, U.S.A Tianxi Cai is a Professor, Department of Biostatistics, Harvard University, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Lu TianJessica Gronsbell is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON M5S 3G3, CA Molei Liu is a Ph.D. student in the Department of Biostatistics, Harvard University, Boston, MA 02115, USA Lu Tian is an Associate Professor, Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, California 94305, U.S.A Tianxi Cai is a Professor, Department of Biostatistics, Harvard University, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Tianxi CaiJessica Gronsbell is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON M5S 3G3, CA Molei Liu is a Ph.D. student in the Department of Biostatistics, Harvard University, Boston, MA 02115, USA Lu Tian is an Associate Professor, Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Palo Alto, California 94305, U.S.A Tianxi Cai is a Professor, Department of Biostatistics, Harvard University, Boston, MA 02115, USA.

Funding

Statistical Methods for Optimizing Personalized Treatment SelectionR01HL089778 · NHLBI · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI LU TIAN · 2008 to 2026
$4.8M
Training in Neurostatistics and NeuroepidemiologyT32NS048005 · NINDS · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI ONNELA, JUKKA-PEKKA · 2004 to 2018
$3.2M
Semi-supervised learning with electronic medical recordsF31GM119263 · NIGMS · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI GRONSBELL, JESSICA · 2016 to 2016
$34k
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL089778NIGMS NIH HHS F31 GM119263NINDS NIH HHS T32 NS048005
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In many contemporary applications, large amounts of unlabeled data are readily available while labeled examples are limited. There has been substantial interest in semi-supervised learning (SSL) which aims to leverage unlabeled data to improve estimation or prediction. However, current SSL literature focuses primarily on settings where labeled data is selected uniformly at random from the population of interest. Stratified sampling, while posing additional analytical challenges, is highly applicable to many real world problems. Moreover, no SSL methods currently exist for estimating the prediction performance of a fitted model when the labeled data is not selected uniformly at random. In this paper, we propose a two-step SSL procedure for evaluating a prediction rule derived from a working binary regression model based on the Brier score and overall misclassification rate under stratified sampling. In step I, we impute the missing labels via weighted regression with nonlinear basis functions to account for stratified sampling and to improve efficiency. In step II, we augment the initial imputations to ensure the consistency of the resulting estimators regardless of the specification of the prediction model or the imputation model. The final estimator is then obtained with the augmented imputations. We provide asymptotic theory and numerical studies illustrating that our proposals outperform their supervised counterparts in terms of efficiency gain. Our methods are motivated by electronic health record (EHR) research and validated with a real data analysis of an EHR-based study of diabetic neuropathy.

Indexed as

Model EvaluationRisk PredictionSemi-Supervised LearningStratified Sampling

Identifiers

PMID36275859
PMCPMC9586151

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.