Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36269526›Full record

ArticleBreast cancer research and treatment2022

Use of a supervised machine learning model to predict Oncotype DX risk category in node-positive patients older than 50 years of age.

Austin D Williams, Kate R Pawloski, Hannah Y Wen, Varadan Sevilimedu, Donna Thompson, Monica Morrow, Mahmoud El-Tamer

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Breast cancer research and treatment, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
0.1field-weighted citation impact, top 59% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 1 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Austin D WilliamsBreast Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, 10065, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2299-3061
Kate R PawloskiBreast Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, 10065, USA.
Hannah Y WenDepartment of Pathology, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, 10065, USA.
Varadan SevilimeduBiostatistics Service, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, 10065, USA.
Donna ThompsonDepartment of Pathology, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, 10065, USA.
Monica MorrowBreast Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, 10065, USA.
Mahmoud El-TamerBreast Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, 10065, USA. eltamerm@mskcc.org.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2264-9487
Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center · US

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI SELWYN M VICKERS · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeThe use of the Oncotype DX recurrence score (RS) to predict chemotherapy benefit in patients with hormone receptor-positive/HER2 negative (HR+/HER2-) breast cancer has recently expanded to include postmenopausal patients with N1 disease. RS availability is limited in resource-poor settings, however, prompting the development of statistical models that predict RS using clinicopathologic features. We sought to assess the performance of our supervised machine learning model in a cohort of patients > 50 years of age with N1 disease.

methodsWe identified patients > 50 years of age with pT1-2N1 HR+/HER2- breast cancer and applied the statistical model previously developed in a node-negative cohort, which uses age, pathologic tumor size, histology, progesterone receptor expression, lymphovascular invasion, and tumor grade to predict RS. We measured the model's ability to predict RS risk category (low: RS ≤ 25; high: RS > 25).

resultsOur cohort included 401 patients, 60.6% of whom had macrometastases, with a median of 1 positive node. The majority of patients had a low-risk observed RS (85.8%). For predicting RS category, the model had specificity of 97.3%, sensitivity of 31.8%, a negative predictive value of 87.9%, and a positive predictive value of 70.0%.

conclusionOur model, developed in a cohort of node-negative patients, was highly specific for identifying cN1 patients > 50 years of age with a low RS who could safely avoid chemotherapy. The use of this model for identifying patients in whom genomic testing is unnecessary would help decrease the cost burden in resource-poor settings as reliance on RS for adjuvant treatment recommendations increases.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsReceptors, EstrogenBiomarkers, TumorFemaleGene Expression ProfilingHumansNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalPrognosisSupervised Machine LearningBiomarkers, TumorReceptors, EstrogenBreast cancerMachine learningNode positiveRecurrence scoreRisk prediction

Identifiers

PMID36269526
PMCPMC10328094
OpenAlexW4307033413

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.