Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36269421›Full record

ArticleEuropean spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society2023

Machine-learning-based approach for nonunion prediction following osteoporotic vertebral fractures.

Shinji Takahashi, Hidetomi Terai, Masatoshi Hoshino, Tadao Tsujio, Minori Kato, Hiromitsu Toyoda, Akinobu Suzuki, Koji Tamai, Akito Yabu, Hiroaki Nakamura

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In one paragraph

Article in European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Opportunistic osteoporosis screening using CT-based Hounsfield units: a machine learning approach for preoperative spine surgery planning.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2026
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Machine learning can predict surgical indication: new clustering model from a large adult spine deformity database.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2025
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Deep Learning in Scaphoid Nonunion Treatment.Journal of clinical medicine · 2025
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Development and reporting of artificial intelligence in osteoporosis management.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2024
    Review
  14. Review
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Shinji TakahashiDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Osaka Metropolitan University Graduate School of Medicine, 1-4-3 Asahi-Machi, Abeno-Ku, Osaka, 545-8585, Japan. stakahashi@omu.ac.jp.ORCID 0000-0002-6906-5406
Hidetomi TeraiDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Osaka City General Hospital, 2-15-16, Miyakojima Hon-Dori, Miyakojima-Ku, Osaka, Japan.
Masatoshi HoshinoDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Osaka City General Hospital, 2-15-16, Miyakojima Hon-Dori, Miyakojima-Ku, Osaka, Japan.
Tadao TsujioDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Shiraniwa Hospital, 6-10-1. Shiraniwadai, Ikoma City, Nara, Japan.
Minori KatoDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Osaka Metropolitan University Graduate School of Medicine, 1-4-3 Asahi-Machi, Abeno-Ku, Osaka, 545-8585, Japan.
Hiromitsu ToyodaDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Osaka Metropolitan University Graduate School of Medicine, 1-4-3 Asahi-Machi, Abeno-Ku, Osaka, 545-8585, Japan.
Akinobu SuzukiDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Osaka Metropolitan University Graduate School of Medicine, 1-4-3 Asahi-Machi, Abeno-Ku, Osaka, 545-8585, Japan.
Koji TamaiDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Osaka Metropolitan University Graduate School of Medicine, 1-4-3 Asahi-Machi, Abeno-Ku, Osaka, 545-8585, Japan.
Akito YabuDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Osaka Metropolitan University Graduate School of Medicine, 1-4-3 Asahi-Machi, Abeno-Ku, Osaka, 545-8585, Japan.
Hiroaki NakamuraDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Osaka Metropolitan University Graduate School of Medicine, 1-4-3 Asahi-Machi, Abeno-Ku, Osaka, 545-8585, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeAn osteoporotic vertebral fracture (OVF) is a common disease that causes disabilities in elderly patients. In particular, patients with nonunion following an OVF often experience severe back pain and require surgical intervention. However, nonunion diagnosis generally takes more than six months. Although several studies have advocated the use of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) observations as predictive factors, they exhibit insufficient accuracy. The purpose of this study was to create a predictive model for OVF nonunion using machine learning (ML).

methodsWe used datasets from two prospective cohort studies for OVF nonunion prediction based on conservative treatment. Among 573 patients with acute OVFs exceeding 65 years in age enrolled in this study, 505 were analyzed. The demographic data, fracture type, and MRI observations of both studies were analyzed using ML. The ML architecture utilized in this study included a logistic regression model, decision tree, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and random forest (RF). The datasets were processed using Python.

resultsThe two ML algorithms, XGBoost and RF, exhibited higher area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) than the logistic regression and decision tree models (AUC = 0.860 and 0.845 for RF and XGBoost, respectively). The present study found that MRI findings, anterior height ratio, kyphotic angle, BMI, VAS, age, posterior wall injury, fracture level, and smoking habit ranked as important features in the ML algorithms.

conclusionML-based algorithms might be more effective than conventional methods for nonunion prediction following OVFs.

Indexed as

Osteoporotic FracturesSpinal FracturesAgedHumansMachine LearningProspective StudiesSpineMachine learningMRINonunion predictionOsteoporosisVertebral fracture

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.