Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36255251›Full record

ArticleJNCI cancer spectrum2022

Body Mass Index Trajectories Across the Adult Life Course and Pancreatic Cancer Risk.

Simran Arjani, Pedro F Saint-Maurice, Sachelly Julián-Serrano, Guido Eibl, Rachael Stolzenberg-Solomon

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JNCI cancer spectrum, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.6field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Life Course Trajectories of Body Mass Index and Risk of Cancer in Adulthood: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Obesity reviews : an official journal of the International Association for the Study of Obesity · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Is Heavy Alcohol Use Associated With Young-Onset Pancreatic Cancer?Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology · 2026
    Article
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  13. Do Polygenic Risk Scores Add to Clinical Data in Predicting Pancreatic Cancer? A Scoping Review.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2023
    Article
  14. Pancreatic cancer: Are all plant-based diets the same?The American journal of clinical nutrition · 2023
    Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Simran ArjaniMetabolic Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology & Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, MD, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3269-648X
Pedro F Saint-MauriceMetabolic Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology & Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, MD, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8752-2340
Sachelly Julián-SerranoMetabolic Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology & Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, MD, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8912-8232
Guido EiblDepartment of Surgery, David Geffen School of Medicine at University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3497-4527
Rachael Stolzenberg-SolomonMetabolic Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology & Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, MD, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3698-7006
National Institutes of Health · USRutgers, The State University of New Jersey · USUniversity of California, Los Angeles · US

Funding

Project 3: Role of the pancreatic fibroinflammatory microenvironment in obesity-promoted pancreatic cancerP01CA236585 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI EIBL, GUIDO ERWIN MICHAEL · 2020 to 2024
$5.6M
NCI NIH HHS P01 CA236585
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBody mass index (BMI) during adulthood has been associated with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), however, patterns of body size across the adult life course have not been studied extensively. We comprehensively evaluated the association between adiposity across adulthood and PDAC.

methodsWe conducted a prospective analysis of 269 480 (162 735 males, 106 745 females) National Institutes of Health-AARP Diet and Health Study participants, aged 50-71 years (1995-1996) who self-reported height and weight history. Participants were followed through December 31, 2011. We examined associations between BMI (kg/m2) at ages 18, 35, 50, and 50-71 (baseline) years, their trajectories determined from latent-class trajectory modeling, and incident PDAC. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate multivariable adjusted hazards ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

resultsDuring up to 15.2 years of follow-up, 3092 (2020 males, 1072 females) patients with incident PDAC were identified. BMI at all 4 ages were statistically significantly associated with increased PDAC (per 5-unit increase, HR = 1.09-1.13) with higher magnitude associations in males than females at ages 35 years and older (Pinteraction < .05). Four BMI trajectories were created. Compared with normal-weight maintainers, normal-to-overweight, normal-to-obese class I, and overweight-to-obese class III trajectories had hazard ratios of 1.15 (95% CI = 1.06 to 1.25), 1.39 (95% CI = 1.25 to 1.54), and 1.48 (95% CI = 1.18 to 1.87), respectively (Pinteraction by sex = .07).

conclusionsHigh BMI and BMI trajectories that result in overweight or obesity during adulthood were positively associated with PDAC, with stronger associations among those with early onset adiposity and those with male sex. Avoidance of excess body weight throughout the adult life course may prevent PDAC.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, Pancreatic DuctalPancreatic NeoplasmsAdultBody Mass IndexFemaleHumansLife Change EventsMaleObesityOverweightRisk FactorsWeight Gain

Identifiers

PMID36255251
PMCPMC9651977
OpenAlexW4306731860

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.