Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36253749›Full record

ArticleBMC medical informatics and decision making2022

Monte Carlo cross-validation for a study with binary outcome and limited sample size.

Guogen Shan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical informatics and decision making, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed.

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  18. Assessing and Addressing Model Trustworthiness Trade-offs in Trauma Triage.International journal of artificial intelligence tools : architectures, languages, algorithms · 2024
    Article
  19. Artificial intelligence in triage of COVID-19 patients.Frontiers in artificial intelligence · 2024
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Guogen ShanDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, 32610, USA. gshan@ufl.edu.

Funding

Renewal of Centers of Biomedical Research Excellence (COBRE) (Phase 2) CNTN - ResubmissionP20GM109025 · NIGMS · CLEVELAND CLINIC FOUNDATION · PI JESSICA KIRKLAND CALDWELL · 2015 to 2026
$22.8M
Alzheimer's Disease: New Trial Designs for Emerging ChallengesR01AG070849 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF NEVADA LAS VEGAS · PI SHAN, GUOGEN · 2021 to 2025
$1.5M
Adaptive randomized designs for cancer clinical trials by using integer algorithms and exact Monte Carlo methodsR03CA248006 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA · PI SHAN, GUOGEN · 2021 to 2022
$153k
NCI NIH HHS R03 CA248006NIA NIH HHS R01 AG070849NIGMS NIH HHS P20 GM109025
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Cross-validation (CV) is a resampling approach to evaluate machine learning models when sample size is limited. The number of all possible combinations of folds for the training data, known as CV rounds, are often very small in leave-one-out CV. Alternatively, Monte Carlo cross-validation (MCCV) can be performed with a flexible number of simulations when computational resources are feasible for a study with limited sample size. We conduct extensive simulation studies to compare accuracy between MCCV and CV with the same number of simulations for a study with binary outcome (e.g., disease progression or not). Accuracy of MCCV is generally higher than CV although the gain is small. They have similar performance when sample size is large. Meanwhile, MCCV is going to provide reliable performance metrics as the number of simulations increases. Two real examples are used to illustrate the comparison between MCCV and CV.

Indexed as

Machine LearningComputer SimulationHumansMonte Carlo MethodSample SizeAlzheimer’s diseaseBinary outcomeCross-validationMachine learningMonte Carlo cross-validation

Identifiers

PMID36253749
PMCPMC9578204

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.