Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36253432›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2022

Comparing three types of data-driven models for monthly evapotranspiration prediction under heterogeneous climatic conditions.

Pouya Aghelpour, Vahid Varshavian, Mehraneh Khodamorad Pour, Zahra Hamedi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Pouya AghelpourDepartment of Water Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture, Bu-Ali Sina University, Hamedan, Iran.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5640-865X
Vahid VarshavianDepartment of Water Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture, Bu-Ali Sina University, Hamedan, Iran.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9705-3066
Mehraneh Khodamorad PourDepartment of Water Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture, Bu-Ali Sina University, Hamedan, Iran. mkhodamorad@basu.ac.ir.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5268-2494
Zahra HamediComputer Science Department, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5279-500X

Funding

Bu-Ali Sina University, Deputy of Research and Technology 1400-1066
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Evapotranspiration is one of the most important hydro-climatological components which directly affects agricultural productions. Therefore, its forecasting is critical for water managers and irrigation planners. In this study, adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model has been hybridized by differential evolution (DE) optimization algorithm as a novel approach to forecast monthly reference evapotranspiration (ET0). Furthermore, this model has been compared with the classic stochastic time series model. For this, the ET0 rates were calculated on a monthly scale during 1995-2018, based on FAO-56 Penman-Monteith equation and meteorological data including minimum air temperature, maximum air temperature, mean air temperature, minimum relative humidity, maximum relative humidity & sunshine duration. The investigation was performed on 6 stations in different climates of Iran, including Bandar Anzali & Ramsar (per-humid), Gharakhil (sub-humid), Shiraz (semi-arid), Ahwaz (arid), and Yazd (extra-arid). The models' performances were evaluated by the criteria percent bias (PB), root mean squared error (RMSE), normalized RMSE (NRMSE), and Nash-Sutcliff (NS) coefficient. Surveys confirm the high capability of the hybrid ANFIS-DE model in monthly ET0 forecasting; so that the DE algorithm was able to improve the accuracy of ANFIS, by 16% on average. Seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) was the most suitable pattern among the time series stochastic models and superior to its competitors, ANFIS and ANFIS-DE. Consequently, the SARIMA was suggested more appropriate for monthly ET0 forecasting in all the climates, due to its simplicity and parsimony. Comparison between the different climates confirmed that the climate type significantly affects the forecasting accuracies: it's revealed that all the models work better in extra-arid, arid and semi-arid climates, than the humid and per-humid areas.

Identifiers

PMID36253432
PMCPMC9576755

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.