Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36251210›Full record

ArticleJournal of gastrointestinal cancer2023

Post-Endoscopy Upper Gastrointestinal Cancer Rate in a Tertiary Referral Centre: An Australian Data Linkage Analysis.

Naeman Goetz, Mehul Lamba, Kimberley Ryan, Florian Grimpen

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of gastrointestinal cancer, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 35% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. [Analysis of Factors Affecting Endoscopic Follow-up Compliance in High-Risk Patients With Early Gastrointestinal Cancer].Sichuan da xue xue bao. Yi xue ban = Journal of Sichuan University. Medical science edition · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Naeman GoetzDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Herston, 4029, Australia. Naeman.Goetz@health.qld.gov.au.
Mehul LambaDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Herston, 4029, Australia.
Kimberley RyanDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Herston, 4029, Australia.
Florian GrimpenDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Herston, 4029, Australia.
Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveHigh-quality gastroscopy is critical for early diagnosis of upper gastrointestinal cancers (UGCs), and assessment of missed cancers may serve as a key quality metric. Using a prospective gastroscopy database and data linkage with the Queensland Cancer Registry, we assessed the risk of developing UGC within 3 years of a cancer-negative gastroscopy at an Australian tertiary centre. Additional aims were to identify factors predictive of missed cancer, perform root cause analyses for missed cancers and assess overall survival. DESIGN/

methodWe identified patients who were diagnosed with UGC within 3 years of undergoing gastroscopy between 2011 and 2016. Non-mucosal cancers, cancers distal to duodenum and patients undergoing surveillance were excluded. Cases diagnosed within 6 months of gastroscopy were defined as detected cancers, while those developing within 6-36 months were defined as missed cancers. Post-endoscopy UGC rate (PEUGIC-3Y) was calculated as ratio of missed over total cancers detected. Demographic, clinical, endoscopic and histologic variables were analysed.

resultsA total of 17,131 gastroscopies were performed for 10,393 patients during the study period. One hundred and twenty-six UGCs were diagnosed, including 120 detected UGCs and 6 missed UGCs. The overall PEUGIC-3Y rate was 4.8% (95% CI 2.1-10.4). The missed UGCs included 3 gastric adenocarcinomas, 2 gastro-oesophageal junction adenocarcinomas and 1 oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma. At the preceding 'cancer-negative gastroscopy', no macroscopic abnormalities were detected at the site of future UGC in 5/6 patients. A UGC developed in 2/6 patients despite an apparent adequate examination at index gastroscopy. Age, sex, indication for endoscopy and cancer location or histology were not predictive of missed cases, and survival was comparable between groups.

conclusionWe demonstrate that the PEUGIC-3Y rate was 4.8% (95% CI 2.1-10.4). The majority of missed cases were adenocarcinomas of the gastro-oesophageal junction or stomach and developed in segments which were found to be normal at index gastroscopy, highlighting the challenges in detecting subtle mucosal lesions in the upper gastrointestinal tract. While overall survival between patients with detected and post-gastroscopy cancers was comparable, these ultimately represent potential missed opportunities for diagnosing an early cancer and underscore the need for quality improvement in gastroscopy.

Indexed as

AdenocarcinomaGastrointestinal NeoplasmsStomach NeoplasmsUpper Gastrointestinal TractAustraliaEndoscopy, GastrointestinalGastroscopyHumansInformation Storage and RetrievalProspective StudiesRetrospective StudiesTertiary Care CentersEarly detection of cancerEndoscopyOesophageal NeoplasmsQuality indicators (health care)Stomach neoplasms

Identifiers

PMID36251210
OpenAlexW4306393234

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.