Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36249287›Full record

ArticleChaos, solitons, and fractals2022

Data-assimilation and state estimation for contact-based spreading processes using the ensemble kalman filter: Application to COVID-19.

A Schaum, R Bernal-Jaquez, L Alarcon Ramos

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Chaos, solitons, and fractals, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

A SchaumChair of Automatic Control, Kiel University, Kiel, Germany.
R Bernal-JaquezDepartamento de Matematicas Aplicadas y Sistemas, Universidad Autonoma Metropolitana - Cuajimalpa, Mexico-City, Mexico.
L Alarcon RamosPosgrado de Ciencias Naturales e Ingenieria, Universidad Autonoma Metropolitana - Cuajimalpa, Mexico-City, Mexico.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The main aim of the present paper is threefold. First, it aims at presenting an extended contact-based model for the description of the spread of contagious diseases in complex networks with consideration of asymptomatic evolutions. Second, it presents a parametrization method of the considered model, including validation with data from the actual spread of COVID-19 in Germany, Mexico and the United States of America. Third, it aims at showcasing the fruitful combination of contact-based network spreading models with a modern state estimation and filtering technique to (i) enable real-time monitoring schemes, and (ii) efficiently deal with dimensionality and stochastic uncertainties. The network model is based on an interpretation of the states of the nodes as (statistical) probability densities samples, where nodes can represent individuals, groups or communities, cities or countries, enabling a wide field of application of the presented approach.

Indexed as

Complex networksCOVID-19Data–assimilationEnsemble kalman filterEpidemic spreadingModel identification

Identifiers

PMID36249287
PMCPMC9552782

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.