Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36240830›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet. Global health2022

Re-evaluating the health impact and cost-effectiveness of tuberculosis preventive treatment for modern HIV cohorts on antiretroviral therapy: a modelling analysis using data from Tanzania.

Jinyi Zhu, Goodluck Lyatuu, Christopher R Sudfeld, Anna Kiravu, David Sando, Lameck Machumi, John Minde, Fikiri Chisonjela, Ted Cohen, Nicolas A Menzies

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet. Global health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 20% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Jinyi ZhuDepartment of Health Policy, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN, USA; Center for Health Decision Science, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA. Electronic address: jinyi.zhu.1@vanderbilt.edu.
Goodluck LyatuuManagement and Development for Health, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
Christopher R SudfeldDepartment of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Anna KiravuManagement and Development for Health, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
David SandoManagement and Development for Health, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
Lameck MachumiManagement and Development for Health, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
John MindeManagement and Development for Health, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
Fikiri ChisonjelaManagement and Development for Health, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
Ted CohenDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Nicolas A MenziesCenter for Health Decision Science, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Management and Development for Health · TZHarvard Global Health Institute · USYale University · US

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Integrating genomic and spatial approaches for targeted control of HIV-associated tuberculosis epidemicsR01AI147854 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI COHEN, THEODORE H, SALOMON, JOSHUA A · 2020 to 2023
$3.1M
Training Tanzanian Researchers for HIV/AIDS Implementation ScienceD43TW009775 · FIC · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI Wafaie W Fawzi, Christopher Sudfeld · 2015 to 2026
$3.0M
Optimal targeting for individual and population-level TB preventionR01AI146555 · NIAID · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI MENZIES, NICOLAS A · 2020 to 2024
$2.5M
FIC NIH HHS D43 TW009775NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI146555NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI147854
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIsoniazid preventive therapy (IPT) can prevent tuberculosis among people receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART). HIV programmes are now initiating patients on ART with higher average CD4 cell counts and lower tuberculosis risks under test-and-treat guidelines. We aimed to investigate how this change has affected the health impact and cost-effectiveness of IPT.

methodsWe constructed a tuberculosis-HIV microsimulation model parameterised using data from a large HIV treatment programme in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. We simulated long-term health and cost outcomes for the 211 748 individuals initiating ART between Jan 1, 2014, and Dec 31, 2020, under three scenarios: no IPT access; observed levels of IPT access (75%) and completion (71%); and full (100%) IPT access and completion. We stratified results by ART initiation year and starting CD4 cell count.

findingsObserved levels of IPT access were estimated to have averted 12 800 (95% uncertainty interval 7300 to 21 600) disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) and saved US$23 000 (-2 268 000 to 1 388 000). Full IPT access would have averted 24 500 (15 100 to 38 300) DALYs and cost $825 000 (-1 594 000 to 4 751 000), equivalent to $23·4 per DALY averted. Lifetime health benefits of IPT were estimated to be greater for more recent ART cohorts, while lifetime costs were stable. In subgroup analyses, a higher CD4 cell count at ART initiation was associated with greater health gains from IPT (15 900 [10 300 to 22 500] DALYs averted by full IPT per 100 000 patients for CD4 count >500 cells per μL at ART initiation, versus 7400 [4500 to 11 600] for CD4 count <100 cells per μL) and lower incremental lifetime costs.

interpretationIPT remains highly cost-effective or cost-saving for recent ART cohorts. The health impact and cost-effectiveness of IPT are estimated to improve as patients initiate ART earlier in the course of infection.

fundingUS National Institutes of Health.

Indexed as

HIV InfectionsTuberculosisAntitubercular AgentsCD4 Lymphocyte CountCost-Benefit AnalysisHumansIsoniazidTanzaniaAntitubercular AgentsIsoniazid

Identifiers

PMID36240830
PMCPMC9553191
OpenAlexW4304617402

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.