Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36229777›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2022

Social distancing causally impacts the spread of SARS-CoV-2: a U.S. nationwide event study.

Louis Gagnon, Stephanie Gagnon, Jessica Lloyd

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. The effect of age-specific stay-at-home recommendation on healthcare utilization: Evidence from Finland's COVID-19 policy.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Crowd Salience Heightens Tolerance to Healthy Facial Features.Adaptive human behavior and physiology · 2021
    Article
  5. The current situation of COVID-19 in Sudan.New microbes and new infections · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Louis GagnonSmith School of Business, Queen's University, Kingston, ON, K7L 3N6, Canada. louis.gagnon@queensu.ca.
Stephanie GagnonSchool of Medicine, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Dublin, Republic of Ireland.
Jessica LloydSchool of Medicine, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Dublin, Republic of Ireland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We assess the causal impact of social distancing on the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the U.S. using the quasi-natural experimental setting created by the spontaneous relaxation of social distancing behavior brought on by the protests that erupted across the nation following George Floyd's tragic death on May 25, 2020. Using a difference-in-difference specification and a balanced sample covering the [- 30, 30] day event window centered on the onset of protests, we document an increase of 1.34 cases per day, per 100,000 population, in the SARS-CoV-2 incidence rate in protest counties, relative to their propensity score matching non-protest counterparts. This represents a 26.8% increase in the incidence rate relative to the week preceding the protests. We find that the treatment effect only manifests itself after the onset of the protests and our placebo tests rule out the possibility that our findings are attributable to chance. Our research informs policy makers and provides insights regarding the usefulness of social distancing as an intervention to minimize the spread of SARS-CoV-2.

Indexed as

COVID-19SARS-CoV-2HumansIncidencePhysical DistancingCovid-19George Floyd protestsPropensity score matchingSARS-CoV-2Social distancingSocial mobilityStaggered difference-in-difference

Identifiers

PMID36229777
PMCPMC9559543

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.