ArticleNature communications2022
The deglacial forest conundrum.
Article in Nature communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.
What it found
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Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed.
- Late Quaternary fluctuation in upper range limit of trees shapes endemic flora diversity on the Tibetan Plateau.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Plant interactions associated with a directional shift in the richness range size relationship during the Glacial-Holocene transition in the Arctic.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Article
- Post-Glacial Vegetation Trajectories on the Eastern Tibetan Plateau Reflect Millennial-Scale Migration Lags in Complex Mountain Terrain Based on Sedimentary Ancient DNA and Dynamic Dispersal Modeling.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Monsoonal imprint on late Quaternary landscapes of the Rub' al Khali Desert.Communications earth & environment · 2025Article
- The crucial role of soil moisture in the evolution of forest cover in Asia since the Last Glacial Maximum.Innovation (Cambridge (Mass.)) · 2024Review
- Simulating long-term wildfire impacts on boreal forest structure in Central Yakutia, Siberia, since the Last Glacial Maximum.Fire ecology · 2024Article
- Climate change and land use threaten global hotspots of phylogenetic endemism for trees.Nature communications · 2023Article
- Biome- and timescale-dependence of Holocene vegetation variability in the Northern Hemisphere.Ecology and evolution · 2023Article
- Were climatic forcings the main driver for mid-holocene changes in settlement dynamics on the Varamin Plain (Central Iranian Plateau)?PloS one · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
How fast the Northern Hemisphere (NH) forest biome tracks strongly warming climates is largely unknown. Regional studies reveal lags between decades and millennia. Here we report a conundrum: Deglacial forest expansion in the NH extra-tropics occurs approximately 4000 years earlier in a transient MPI-ESM1.2 simulation than shown by pollen-based biome reconstructions. Shortcomings in the model and the reconstructions could both contribute to this mismatch, leaving the underlying causes unresolved. The simulated vegetation responds within decades to simulated climate changes, which agree with pollen-independent reconstructions. Thus, we can exclude climate biases as main driver for differences. Instead, the mismatch points at a multi-millennial disequilibrium of the NH forest biome to the climate signal. Therefore, the evaluation of time-slice simulations in strongly changing climates with pollen records should be critically reassessed. Our results imply that NH forests may be responding much slower to ongoing climate changes than Earth System Models predict.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.