Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36214066›Full record

Trial reportHepatology communications2022

Noninvasive predictors of clinically significant portal hypertension in NASH cirrhosis: Validation of ANTICIPATE models and development of a lab-based model.

Anahita Rabiee, Yanhong Deng, Maria Ciarleglio, Jean L Chan, Monica Pons, Joan Genesca, Guadalupe Garcia-Tsao

Open access · goldAbstract readRandomized Controlled TrialMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Trial report in Hepatology communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.8field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 40 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Clinical Outcomes and Non-Invasive Testing in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatohepatitis With Cirrhosis: A Systematic Review.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2026
    Pooled it
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  6. Steatotic Liver Disease at Primary Biliary Cholangitis Diagnosis: Association With Ursodeoxycholic Acid Response and Outcomes.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2026
    Article
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  9. Evaluation of spleen stiffness and liver stiffness as non-invasive predictors of esophageal varices in patients with cirrhosis of the liver.Indian journal of gastroenterology : official journal of the Indian Society of Gastroenterology · 2026
    Article
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  12. [Non-invasive evaluation and prediction of portal hypertension: focusing on disease progression and outcome].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Anahita RabieeSection of Digestive Diseases, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8833-3592
Yanhong DengDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Maria CiarleglioDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Jean L ChanConatus Pharmaceuticals at the time of study conduct, San Diego, California, USA.
Monica PonsLiver Unit, Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Vall d'Hebron Institut de Recerca (VHIR), Vall d'Hebron Barcelona Hospital Campus, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Joan GenescaLiver Unit, Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Vall d'Hebron Institut de Recerca (VHIR), Vall d'Hebron Barcelona Hospital Campus, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-0831-8422
Guadalupe Garcia-TsaoSection of Digestive Diseases, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Yale University · USUniversitat Autònoma de Barcelona · ESConatus Pharmaceuticals (United States) · US

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Yale Liver CenterP30DK034989 · NIDDK · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI YASUKO IWAKIRI · 1986 to 2026
$31.1M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK034989
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH), defined as hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) ≥ 10 mm Hg, identifies patients with compensated cirrhosis at a high risk of decompensation. However, HVPG is an invasive and nuanced method. The ANTICIPATE models, which include liver stiffness measurements by transient elastography (TE) and platelet count ± body mass index, are robust noninvasive surrogates of CSPH but required external validation in patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) cirrhosis. Additionally, TE is not widely available worldwide. The aims of the study were: (1) to externally validate the ANTICIPATE models using baseline data from patients with compensated NASH cirrhosis screened/enrolled in a multicenter international randomized controlled trial; and (2) to develop and externally validate a model using only laboratory values. Regarding aim 1, both ANTICIPATE models showed good calibration and discrimination (area under the curve [AUC] > 0.8) in our cohort (n = 222). Regarding aim 2, a new lab-based model using the Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4 [age, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, platelet count]) plus serum albumin was developed. The discrimination in the training cohort (n = 309) was good (AUC of 0.78 [95% confidence interval [CI]:0.72-0.83]). It was then externally validated in a separate cohort of 245 patients with compensated NASH cirrhosis (AUC of 0.8 [95% CI: 0.75-0.86]). Given the difference in the prevalence of CSPH between training (74%) and validation (39%) cohorts, the model required an update of the baseline risk to achieve a good calibration. The updated model was named FIB4+. In conclusion, both ANTICIPATE models performed well in predicting the presence of CSPH in NASH cirrhosis. A model using FIB-4 plus albumin (FIB4+) can be used to predict CSPH where TE is not available.

Indexed as

Elasticity Imaging TechniquesHypertension, PortalNon-alcoholic Fatty Liver DiseaseHumansLiver CirrhosisPortal Pressure

Identifiers

PMID36214066
PMCPMC9701481
OpenAlexW4303984264

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.