Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36213134›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Western Pacific2022

Risk factors for acute rheumatic fever: A case-control study.

Michael G Baker, Jason Gurney, Nicole J Moreland, Julie Bennett, Jane Oliver, Deborah A Williamson, Nevil Pierse, Nigel Wilson, Tony R Merriman, Teuila Percival and 6 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
10.4field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 54 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Acute rheumatic fever and rheumatic heart disease.Nature reviews. Disease primers · 2026
    Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Global heart · 2026
    Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Exploring How Rheumatic Fever Is Portrayed on TikTok: A Descriptive Content Analysis.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2025
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 6 institutions in 3 countries.

Michael G BakerDepartment of Public Health, University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand.
Jason GurneyDepartment of Public Health, University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand.
Nicole J MorelandFaculty of Medical and Health Sciences, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Julie BennettDepartment of Public Health, University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand.
Jane OliverDepartment of Infectious Diseases, University of Melbourne at the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Deborah A WilliamsonDepartment of Infectious Diseases, University of Melbourne at the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Nevil PierseDepartment of Public Health, University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand.
Nigel WilsonFaculty of Medical and Health Sciences, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Tony R MerrimanDepartment of Biochemistry, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand.
Teuila PercivalFaculty of Medical and Health Sciences, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Catherine JacksonNorthland District Health Board, Whangarei, New Zealand.
Richard EdwardsDepartment of Public Health, University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand.
Florina Chan MowCounties Manukau District Health Board, Auckland, New Zealand.
William M ThomsonDepartment of Oral Sciences, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand.
Jane ZhangDepartment of Public Health, University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand.
Diana LennonFaculty of Medical and Health Sciences, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
University of Otago · NZUniversity of Auckland · NZThe University of Melbourne · AUCounties Manukau District Health Board · NZNorthland District Health Board · NZUniversity of Alabama at Birmingham · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Acute rheumatic fever (ARF) and rheumatic heart disease (RHD) remain an inequitable cause of avoidable suffering and early death in many countries, including among Indigenous Māori and Pacific populations in New Zealand. There is a lack of robust evidence on interventions to prevent ARF. This study aimed to identify modifiable risk factors, with the goal of producing evidence to support policies and programs to decrease rates of ARF. Methods: A case-control study was undertaken in New Zealand using hospitalised, first episode ARF cases meeting a standard case-definition. Population controls (ratio of 3:1) were matched by age, ethnicity, socioeconomic deprivation, location, sex, and recruitment month. A comprehensive, pre-tested questionnaire was administered face-to-face by trained interviewers. Findings: The study included 124 cases and 372 controls. Multivariable analysis identified strong associations between ARF and household crowding (OR 3·88; 95%CI 1·68-8·98) and barriers to accessing primary health care (OR 2·07; 95% CI 1·08-4·00), as well as a high intake of sugar-sweetened beverages (OR 2·00; 1·13-3·54). There was a marked five-fold higher ARF risk for those with a family history of ARF (OR 4·97; 95% CI 2·53-9·77). ARF risk was elevated following self-reported skin infection (aOR 2·53; 1·44-4·42) and sore throat (aOR 2·33; 1·49-3·62). Interpretation: These globally relevant findings direct attention to the critical importance of household crowding and access to primary health care as strong modifiable causal factors in the development of ARF. They also support a greater focus on the role of managing skin infections in ARF prevention. Funding: This research was funded by the Health Research Council of New Zealand (HRC) Rheumatic Fever Research Partnership (supported by the New Zealand Ministry of Health, Te Puni Kōkiri, Cure Kids, Heart Foundation, and HRC) award number 13/959.

Indexed as

Acute rheumatic feverCase-control studyCrowdingGroup A streptococcal infectionsHousingMāoriNew ZealandPacific peoplesPrimary healthcareRisk factorsSocial determinants

Identifiers

PMID36213134
PMCPMC9535428
OpenAlexW4283821734

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.