ArticleParasites & vectors2022
Short-term effects of tropical cyclones on the incidence of dengue: a time-series study in Guangzhou, China.
Article in Parasites & vectors, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 9 citations in OpenAlex.
- Impact of flooding events on waterborne and vector-borne infections: a systematic review.BMC infectious diseases · 2026Pooled it
- Health Effects of Cyclones: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Epidemiological Studies.Environmental health perspectives · 2023Pooled it
- The role of tropical cyclones in accelerating dengue transmission: insights from field experiments and dynamical modelling.BMJ global health · 2026Article
- Mapping the global health burden of climate-sensitive exposures: a systematic scoping review.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2026Article
- Extreme precipitation, exacerbated by anthropogenic climate change, drove Peru's record-breaking 2023 dengue outbreak.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2024Article
- Association Between Extreme Heat and Outpatient Visits for Mental Disorders: A Time-Series Analysis in Guangzhou, China.GeoHealth · 2024Article
- Tropical cyclone-specific mortality risks and the periods of concern: A multicountry time-series study.PLoS medicine · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundLimited evidence is available about the association between tropical cyclones and dengue incidence. This study aimed to examine the effects of tropical cyclones on the incidence of dengue and to explore the vulnerable populations in Guangzhou, China.
methodsWeekly dengue case data, tropical cyclone and meteorological data during the tropical cyclones season (June to October) from 2015 to 2019 were collected for the study. A quasi-Poisson generalized linear model combined with a distributed lag non-linear model was conducted to quantify the association between tropical cyclones and dengue, controlling for meteorological factors, seasonality, and long-term trend. Proportion of dengue cases attributable to tropical cyclone exposure was calculated. The effect difference by sex and age groups was calculated to identify vulnerable populations. The tropical cyclones were classified into two levels to compare the effects of different grades of tropical cyclones on the dengue incidence.
resultsTropical cyclones were associated with an increased number of dengue cases with the maximum risk ratio of 1.41 (95% confidence interval 1.17-1.69) in lag 0 week and cumulative risk ratio of 2.13 (95% confidence interval 1.28-3.56) in lag 0-4 weeks. The attributable fraction was 6.31% (95% empirical confidence interval 1.96-10.16%). Men and the elderly were more vulnerable to the effects of tropical cyclones than the others. The effects of typhoons were stronger than those of tropical storms among various subpopulations.
conclusionsOur findings indicate that tropical cyclones may increase the incidence of dengue within a 4-week lag in Guangzhou, China, and the effects were more pronounced in men and the elderly. Precautionary measures should be taken with a focus on the identified vulnerable populations to control the transmission of dengue associated with tropical cyclones.
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