Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36193169›Full record

ArticleEClinicalMedicine2022

The placebo response rate and nocebo events in obesity pharmacological trials. A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Yip Han Chin, Cheng Han Ng, Nicholas Ws Chew, Gwyneth Kong, Wen Hui Lim, Darren Jun Hao Tan, Kai En Chan, Ansel Tang, Daniel Q Huang, Mark Y Chan and 12 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EClinicalMedicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Sex differences in survival following acute coronary syndrome with and without standard modifiable risk factors.Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society · 2025
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  11. Anti-Obesity Effects of Pear Extract (International journal of stem cells · 2026
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  17. Weight change patterns following surgery for cervical spondylosis in overweight and obese individuals: a nationwide longitudinal study.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors.

Yip Han ChinYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Cheng Han NgYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Nicholas Ws ChewDepartment of Cardiology, National University Heart Centre, Singapore.
Gwyneth KongYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Wen Hui LimYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Darren Jun Hao TanYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Kai En ChanYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Ansel TangYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Daniel Q HuangYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Mark Y ChanYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Gemma FigtreeNorthern Clinical School, Kolling Institute of Medical Research, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Jiong-Wei WangYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Asim ShabbirDivision of General Surgery (Upper Gastrointestinal Surgery), Department of Surgery, National University Hospital.
Chin Meng KhooYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Vincent Wai-Sun WongDepartment of Medicine and Therapeutics, Chinese University of Hong Kong, China.
Dan Yock YoungYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Mohammad Shadab SiddiquiDivision of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Department of Internal Medicine, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA, USA.
Mazen NoureddinCedars-Sinai Fatty Liver Program, Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Medicine, Comprehensive Transplant Centre, Cedars-Sinai Medical Centre, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Arun SanyalDivision of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Department of Internal Medicine, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA, USA.
David E CummingsUW Medicine Diabetes Institute, VA Puget Sound Health Care System, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Nicholas SynYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Mark Dhinesh MuthiahYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: There is a growing number of trials examining the effectiveness of pharmacotherapies for obesity, however, little is known about placebo and nocebo effect in these trials. Hence, we sought to examine the effect of placebo in obesity trials, to better understand the potential factors affecting clinical endpoints in them. Methods: Medline, Embase, and Cochrane CENTRAL were searched for articles examining weight-loss RCTs examining patients with overweight or obesity in placebo-controlled arms from inception till 25 June 2022. This paper was registered online with PROSPERO (CRD42022302482). A single arm meta-analysis of proportions was used to estimate the primary outcomes, ≥5%, ≥10%, and ≥15% total weight loss - and the adverse effects that patients experienced during the trial. A meta-analysis of means was used to estimate the pooled mean differences of the secondary outcomes including, body weight measurements, lipid levels, glycemic indices, and blood pressure over time. Findings: A total of 63 papers involving 20,454 patients and 69 trials were included. The proportion of patients that had ≥5%, ≥10%, and ≥15% weight loss was 20·4% (CI:16·1% to 25·0%), 8·3% (CI:6·1% to 10·9%), and 6·2% (CI:3·8% to 9·7%), respectively. Analysis by duration of trials showed stepwise increase in proportion of patients with ≥5% and ≥10% weight loss with increasing duration of study. Analysis of secondary outcomes found modest improvement in all analyses. The pooled average rate of overall AEs, serious AEs, and discontinuation was 73·7% (CI:68·0% to 79·0%), 3·4% (CI:2·4% to 4·5%), and 5·2% (CI:4·0% to 6·5%), respectively. In psychiatric complications, the pooled rates of anxiety and depression were 2·7% (CI:1·8% to 3·7%) and 2·5 (CI:1·7% to 3·3%). Interpretation: Our meta-analysis of placebo-treated participants in weight-loss RCTs indicate a significant placebo and nocebo effect. These findings are important to quantify their effect and may inform the design of future RCTs. Funding: This research did not receive additional support from organizations beyond the authors' academic institutions.

Indexed as

Hawthorne effectObesityPlacebo effectWeight loss

Identifiers

PMID36193169
PMCPMC9526167

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.