Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36190732›Full record

ArticleJAMA network open2022

Synergistic Associations of PNPLA3 I148M Variant, Alcohol Intake, and Obesity With Risk of Cirrhosis, Hepatocellular Carcinoma, and Mortality.

Hyun-Seok Kim, Xiangjun Xiao, Jinyoung Byun, Goo Jun, Stacia M DeSantis, Han Chen, Aaron P Thrift, Hashem B El-Serag, Fasiha Kanwal, Christopher I Amos

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JAMA network open, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 43 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
43citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
8.1field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

43 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 61 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Steatotic liver disease in Latin America: current views and perspectives.Nature reviews. Gastroenterology & hepatology · 2026
    Review
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. Review
  11. Ferroptosis: The Demise of Cells Through Phospholipid Peroxidation.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2026
    Review
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. JHEP reports : innovation in hepatology · 2026
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Gene-based therapies for steatotic liver disease.Molecular therapy : the journal of the American Society of Gene Therapy · 2025
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Hyun-Seok KimDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Xiangjun XiaoSection of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas.
Jinyoung ByunSection of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas.
Goo JunDepartment of Epidemiology, Human Genetics & Environmental Sciences and Human Genetics Center, School of Public Health, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston.
Stacia M DeSantisDepartment of Biostatistics and Data Science, School of Public Health, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston.
Han ChenDepartment of Epidemiology, Human Genetics & Environmental Sciences and Human Genetics Center, School of Public Health, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston.
Aaron P ThriftSection of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas.
Hashem B El-SeragSection of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas.
Fasiha KanwalSection of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas.
Christopher I AmosSection of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas.
Baylor College of Medicine · USThe University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston · USBeth Israel Deaconess Medical Center · USMichael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center · US

Funding

Tissue Analysis & Molecular Imaging CoreP30DK056338 · NIDDK · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI James Versalovic · 2001 to 2026
$28.3M
Translating Molecular and Clinical Data to Population Lung Cancer Risk AssessmentU19CA203654 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF NEW MEXICO HEALTH SCIS CTR · PI Rayjean J. Hung · 2017 to 2026
$23.7M
Translational Research Support CoreP30ES030285 · NIEHS · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI Casey W Wright · 2019 to 2026
$14.7M
Prevention of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Related to Metabolic SyndromeP01CA263025 · NCI · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI Hashem B El-Serag · 2022 to 2026
$8.9M
Risk Stratification for and Early Detection of Liver CancerU01CA230997 · NCI · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI Jagpreet Chhatwal, Hashem B El-Serag · 2018 to 2026
$6.4M
Genome-Wide Association Study (GWAS) in Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC)R01CA186566 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI AMOS, CHRISTOPHER I., HASSAN, MANAL METWALLY · 2015 to 2019
$3.6M
Diabetes Progression with Metabolomic Profiling in Starr County Mexican AmericansR01DK118631 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCI CTR HOUSTON · PI JUN, GOO · 2019 to 2023
$3.1M
Multi-level Evaluation of Racial/ethnic Disparities in Liver Disease OutcomesR01CA256977 · NCI · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI KANWAL, FASIHA, SINGAL, AMIT · 2021 to 2025
$3.0M
Research Training in GastroenterologyT32DK083266 · NIDDK · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI Hashem B El-Serag, FASIHA KANWAL · 2010 to 2026
$2.3M
Genetic interaction analysis involving oncogenesis-related genes in lung cancerR21CA235464 · NCI · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI LI, YAFANG · 2019 to 2020
$380k
The Maternal Genome and Risk of Structural Birth DefectsR03HD098552 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCI CTR HOUSTON · PI JUN, GOO · 2019 to 2020
$296k
Medical Research Council MC_PC_17228Medical Research Council MC_QA137853NCI NIH HHS P01 CA263025NCI NIH HHS R01 CA186566NCI NIH HHS R01 CA256977NCI NIH HHS R21 CA235464NCI NIH HHS U01 CA230997NCI NIH HHS U19 CA203654NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92020C00001NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201000007CNICHD NIH HHS R03 HD098552NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK056338NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK118631NIDDK NIH HHS T32 DK083266
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Importance: Alcohol drinking and obesity are associated with an increased risk of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but the risk is not uniform among people with these risk factors. Genetic variants, such as I148M in the patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing protein 3 (PNPLA3) gene, may play an important role in modulating cirrhosis and HCC risk. Objective: To investigate the joint associations of the PNPLA3 I148M variant, alcohol intake, and obesity with the risk of cirrhosis, HCC, and liver disease-related mortality. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective cohort study analyzed 414 209 participants enrolled in the UK Biobank study from March 2006 to December 2010. Participants had no previous diagnosis of cirrhosis and HCC and were followed up through March 2021. Exposures: Self-reported alcohol intake (nonexcessive vs excessive), obesity (body mass index ≥30 [calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared]), and PNPLA3 I148M variant status (noncarrier, heterozygous carrier, or homozygous carrier) from initial assessment. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcomes were incident cirrhosis and HCC cases and liver disease-related death ascertained from inpatient hospitalization records and death registry. The risks were calculated by Cox proportional hazards regression models. Results: A total of 414 209 participants (mean [SD] age, 56.3 [8.09] years; 218 567 women [52.8%]; 389 452 White race and ethnicity [94.0%]) were included. Of these participants, 2398 participants (0.6%) developed cirrhosis (5.07 [95% CI, 4.87-5.28] cases per 100 person-years), 323 (0.1%) developed HCC (0.68 [95% CI, 0.61-0.76] cases per 100 person-years), and 878 (0.2%) died from a liver disease-related cause (1.76 [95% CI, 1.64-1.88] cases per 100 person-years) during a median follow-up of 10.9 years. Synergistic interactions between the PNPLA3 I148M variant, obesity, and alcohol intake were associated with the risk of cirrhosis, HCC, and liver disease-related mortality. The risk of cirrhosis increased supramultiplicatively (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 17.52; 95% CI, 12.84-23.90) in individuals with obesity, with excessive drinking, and who were homozygous carriers compared with those with no obesity, with nonexcessive drinking, and who were noncarriers. Supramultiplicative associations between the 3 factors and risks of HCC were found in individuals with 3 risk factors (aHR, 30.13; 95% CI, 16.51-54.98) and liver disease-related mortality (aHR, 21.82; 95% CI, 13.78-34.56). The PNPLA3 I148M variant status significantly differentiated the risk of cirrhosis, HCC, and liver disease-related mortality in persons with excessive drinking and obesity. Conclusions and Relevance: This study found synergistic associations of the PNPLA3 I148M variant, excessive alcohol intake, and obesity with increased risk of cirrhosis, HCC, and liver disease-related death in the general population. The PNPLA3 I148M variant status may help refine the risk stratification for liver disease in persons with excessive drinking and obesity who may need early preventive measures.

Indexed as

AcyltransferasesCarcinoma, HepatocellularLiver NeoplasmsPhospholipases A2, Calcium-IndependentAlcohol DrinkingFemaleHumansLipaseLiver CirrhosisMaleMembrane ProteinsMiddle AgedObesityPhospholipasesProspective StudiesAcyltransferasesLipaseMembrane ProteinsPhospholipasesPhospholipases A2, Calcium-IndependentPNPLA3 protein, human

Identifiers

PMID36190732
PMCPMC9530967
OpenAlexW4300688259

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.