Dynamic blood presepsin levels are associated with severity and outcome of acute pancreatitis: A prospective cohort study.

backgroundAcute pancreatitis (AP) is an inflammatory disorder of the pancreas with an unpredictable course of illness. A major challenge of AP is the early identification of patients at high-risk for organ failure and death. However, scoring systems are complicated and time consuming, and the predictive values for the clinical course are vague.

aimTo determine whether the dynamic changes in presepsin levels can be used to evaluate the severity of disease and outcome of AP.

methodsIn this multicentric cohort study, 133 patients with AP were included. Clinical severity was dynamically evaluated using the 2012 revised Atlanta Classification. Blood presepsin levels were measured at days 1, 3, 5 and 7 after admission by chemiluminescent enzyme immunoassay.

resultsThe median concentration of presepsin increased and the clearance rate of presepsin decreased with disease severity and organ failure in AP patients. The presepsin levels on days 3, 5 and 7 were independent predictors of moderately severe and severe AP with time-specific area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.827, 0.848 and 0.867, respectively. The presepsin levels positively correlated with bedside index of severity in AP, Ranson, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II, computed tomography severity index and Marshall scores. Presepsin levels on days 3, 5 and 7 were independent predictors of 28-d mortality of AP patients with AUC values of 0.781, 0.846 and 0.843, respectively.

conclusionBlood presepsin levels within 7 d of admission were associated with and may be useful to dynamically predict the severity of disease course and 28-d mortality in AP patients.