The value of surgeon's perception during transurethral resection of bladder tumors: can we trust in our eyes and experience to predict grade and staging?

Transurethral resection of newly diagnosed bladder tumors (TURBT) is a hallmark ¡n the treatment of bladder cancer. We evaluated the surgeon capacity to predict bladder tumor stage (T), grade, and presence of muscular layer based upon cystoscopic characteristics during primary TURBT. Methods: Prospective study enrolling 100 consecutive patients undergoing primary TURBT for newly diagnosed bladder cancers. Cystoscop¡c tumor characteristics at the time of TURBT was evaluated by an urology senior and a resident regarding histological grade, invasion (T stage), and presence of muscular layer in the specimen. We analyzed the surgeon's accuracy in predicting these parameters using the final histology as gold standard. In addition, the predictive capacity between seniors and residents was compared. Results: The resident's arm correctly predicted tumor invasiveness in 76% of cases, while seniors correctly predicted 87% of cases. Regarding tumor grade, high grade cancer was reported in 78% of the specimens and 75% and 77% of them were correctly predicted by residents and seniors, respectively. Finally, 80% of the TURBT specimens had muscle representativeness. In nearly 75% of the cases, both resident and senior correctly predicted the TURBT resection depth (presence of detrusor muscle in the specimen). The positive predictive value for this parameter was 79% for the resident, and 81% for the senior, and the negative predictive value was 25% and 40%, respectively. Conclusion: The surgeon's naked eye analysis showed a good, but limited predictive ability to detect non-muscle invasive and high-grade bladder tumors in TURBT specimens. Positive predictive value for muscle representativeness is around 80%, which reinforces the need of carrying out a careful and extensive TURBT, irrespective of the surgeon experience.