Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36185559›Full record

ArticleWorld journal of gastrointestinal surgery2022

Personal predictive model based on systemic inflammation markers for estimation of postoperative pancreatic fistula following pancreaticoduodenectomy.

Zhi-Da Long, Chao Lu, Xi-Gang Xia, Bo Chen, Zhi-Xiang Xing, Lei Bie, Peng Zhou, Zhong-Lin Ma, Rui Wang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in World journal of gastrointestinal surgery, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Zhi-Da LongDepartment of Hepatobiliary and Pancreaticosplenic Surgery, Jingzhou Hospital, Yangtze University, Jingzhou 434020, Hubei Province, China.
Chao LuDepartment of Hepatobiliary and Pancreaticosplenic Surgery, Jingzhou Hospital, Yangtze University, Jingzhou 434020, Hubei Province, China.
Xi-Gang XiaDepartment of Hepatobiliary and Pancreaticosplenic Surgery, Jingzhou Hospital, Yangtze University, Jingzhou 434020, Hubei Province, China.
Bo ChenDepartment of Hepatobiliary and Pancreaticosplenic Surgery, Jingzhou Hospital, Yangtze University, Jingzhou 434020, Hubei Province, China.
Zhi-Xiang XingDepartment of Hepatobiliary and Pancreaticosplenic Surgery, Jingzhou Hospital, Yangtze University, Jingzhou 434020, Hubei Province, China.
Lei BieDepartment of Hepatobiliary and Pancreaticosplenic Surgery, Jingzhou Hospital, Yangtze University, Jingzhou 434020, Hubei Province, China.
Peng ZhouDepartment of Hepatobiliary and Pancreaticosplenic Surgery, Jingzhou Hospital, Yangtze University, Jingzhou 434020, Hubei Province, China.
Zhong-Lin MaDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Lu'an Hospital of AnHui Medical University, Hefei 237006, Anhui Province, China.
Rui WangDepartment of Hepatobiliary and Pancreaticosplenic Surgery, Jingzhou Hospital, Yangtze University, Jingzhou 434020, Hubei Province, China. wangrui_20222022@163.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPostoperative pancreatic fistula (PF) is a serious life-threatening complication after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). Our research aimed to develop a machine learning (ML)-aided model for PF risk stratification.

aimTo develop an ML-aided model for PF risk stratification.

methodsWe retrospectively collected 618 patients who underwent PD from two tertiary medical centers between January 2012 and August 2021. We used an ML algorithm to build predictive models, and subject prediction index, that is, decision curve analysis, area under operating characteristic curve (AUC) and clinical impact curve to assess the predictive efficiency of each model.

resultsA total of 29 variables were used to build the ML predictive model. Among them, the best predictive model was random forest classifier (RFC), the AUC was [0.897, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.370-1.424], while the AUC of the artificial neural network, eXtreme gradient boosting, support vector machine, and decision tree were between 0.726 (95%CI: 0.191-1.261) and 0.882 (95%CI: 0.321-1.443).

conclusionFluctuating serological inflammatory markers and prognostic nutritional index can be used to predict postoperative PF.

Indexed as

Machine learning algorithmPancreatic fistulaPancreatoduodenectomyRisk predictionSystemic inflammatory biomarker

Identifiers

PMID36185559
PMCPMC9521470

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.