ArticleNature communications2022
Emerging unprecedented lake ice loss in climate change projections.
Article in Nature communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.
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Who cites it
13 citing papers in PubMed.
- Rapid acceleration of ice-cover loss from Northern Hemisphere lakes above critical air temperature thresholds.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Disentangling the historical impacts of warming and fishing on exploited freshwater fish populations.Science advances · 2025Article
- Divergent oxygen trends in ice-covered lakes driven by ice-cover decline and ecological memory.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Host Lifeform Shapes Phyllospheric Microbiome Assembly in Mountain Lake: Deterministic Selection and Stochastic Colonization Dynamics.Microorganisms · 2025Article
- Climate buffering effects of western Canadian boreal lakes: the effect of lake size and depth on shoreline and nearshore forests.Landscape ecology · 2025Article
- High-frequency diatom dynamics seen in an ice- and snow-covered temperate lake using an imaging-in-flow cytometer.Hydrobiologia · 2025Article
- Combining a Multi-Lake Model Ensemble and a Multi-Domain CORDEX Climate Data Ensemble for Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Lake Sevan.Water resources research · 2024Article
- A tale of two blooms: do ecological paradigms for algal bloom success and succession require revisiting?Journal of Great Lakes research · 2024Article
- Group 2i Isochrysidales thrive in marine and lacustrine systems with ice cover.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Article
- Analysis of changes in the occurrence of ice phenomena in upland and mountain rivers of Poland.PloS one · 2024Article
- Arctic warming drives striking twenty-first century ecosystem shifts in Great Slave Lake (Subarctic Canada), North America's deepest lake.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2023Article
- Influences of Climate Change and Land Use Change on the Habitat Suitability of Bharal in the Sanjiangyuan District, China.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Seasonal ice in lakes plays an important role for local communities and lake ecosystems. Here we use Large Ensemble simulations conducted with the Community Earth System Model version 2, which includes a lake simulator, to quantify the response of lake ice to greenhouse warming and to determine emergence patterns of anthropogenic lake ice loss. Our model simulations show that the average duration of ice coverage and maximum ice thickness are projected to decrease over the next 80 years by 38 days and 0.23 m, respectively. In the Canadian Arctic, lake ice loss is accelerated by the cold-season polar amplification. Lake ice on the Tibetan Plateau decreases rapidly due to a combination of strong insolation forcing and ice-albedo feedbacks. Comparing the anthropogenic signal with natural variability represented by the Large Ensemble, we find that lake ecosystems in these regions may be exposed to no-analogue ice coverage within the next 4-5 decades.
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