ArticleNature communications2022
Climate change may outpace current wheat breeding yield improvements in North America.
Article in Nature communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers.
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Who cites it
32 citing papers in PubMed.
- Unequal economic impacts of climate change via idealized carbon dioxide removal: Insights from deep learning.Innovation (Cambridge (Mass.)) · 2026Article
- Inter-annual and regional variability of agronomic and grain quality traits of major Korean wheat cultivars under multi-environmental conditions.Journal of the science of food and agriculture · 2026Article
- Genome-wide linkage and association mapping identified a novel candidate gene, TaGLK-A1, underlying fructan content in wheat grain.TAG. Theoretical and applied genetics. Theoretische und angewandte Genetik · 2026Article
- Decoding stress resilience in soybean: Regulatory networks and precision breeding under climate change.Journal of integrative plant biology · 2026Review
- Multi-hazard exposure and vulnerability drive rising agricultural risk in global breadbasket regions.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Harnessing polyploidy for climate-resilient crops: Lessons from the evolutionary model, allotetraploid cotton.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Review
- k-mer-based approaches to unlock genebank genomics for targeted crop improvement.Nature genetics · 2026Review
- Variability in crop responses as a function of environment affects the NDVI relationship with grain yield in wheat.Plant phenomics (Washington, D.C.) · 2026Article
- Optimizing wheat development to a range of winter climates.Journal of experimental botany · 2026Review
- Multi-sensor phenotyping of yield and yield stability for genotype selection in durum wheat.Plant phenomics (Washington, D.C.) · 2026Article
- Enhancing genomic predictive ability of yield and yield-related traits in spring wheat by integrating major plant adaptation genes as a fixed effect.TAG. Theoretical and applied genetics. Theoretische und angewandte Genetik · 2025Article
- UAV-based multispectral image analysis revealed stay-green haplotypes in wheat specific for different soil nitrogen levels.BMC plant biology · 2025Article
- Sourdough Breads Made with Selected Lactobacillus Strains and Spelt Flour Contain Peptides That Positively Impact Intestinal Barrier.Foods (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Genome-wide association analysis of winter survival in a diverse Canadian winter wheat population.The plant genome · 2025Article
- Chelation-based iron uptake mitigates the effects of prolonged high-temperature stress in cool-season grasses.Nature communications · 2025Article
- AcRR1 of Agropyron cristatum boosts wheat yield by regulating grain number per spike and heading date.Nature communications · 2025Article
- EXGEP: a framework for predicting genotype-by-environment interactions using ensembles of explainable machine-learning models.Briefings in bioinformatics · 2025Article
- Extreme Dry-Heat Climate Impacts on Greenhouse Gas Emission Intensity in Wheat Production: Insights and Mitigation Strategies.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Molecular dissection of the genetic architecture of phenology underlying Lupinus hispanicus early flowering and adaptation to winter- or spring sowing.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Leveraging historical trials to predict Fusarium head blight resistance in spring wheat breeding programs.The plant genome · 2025Article
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11 authors.
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Abstract
Variety adaptation to future climate for wheat is important but lacks comprehensive understanding. Here, we evaluate genetic advancement under current and future climate using a dataset of wheat breeding nurseries in North America during 1960-2018. Results show that yields declined by 3.6% per 1 °C warming for advanced winter wheat breeding lines, compared with -5.5% for the check variety, indicating a superior climate-resilience. However, advanced spring wheat breeding lines showed a 7.5% yield reduction per 1 °C warming, which is more sensitive than a 7.1% reduction for the check variety, indicating climate resilience is not improved and may even decline for spring wheat. Under future climate of SSP scenarios, yields of winter and spring wheat exhibit declining trends even with advanced breeding lines, suggesting future climate warming could outpace the yield gains from current breeding progress. Our study highlights that the adaptation progress following the current wheat breeding strategies is challenging.
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