Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36175583›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2022

Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) detects wildfire occurrence in the Mediterranean countries of Southern Europe.

Roberto Cilli, Mario Elia, Marina D'Este, Vincenzo Giannico, Nicola Amoroso, Angela Lombardi, Ester Pantaleo, Alfonso Monaco, Giovanni Sanesi, Sabina Tangaro and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
8.0field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 73 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  4. Ten simple rules for navigating AI in science.PLoS computational biology · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Roberto Cilli *Dipartimento Interateneo di Fisica M. Merlin, Università degli Studi di Bari Aldo Moro, Bari, Italy.
Mario Elia *Dipartimento di Scienze Agro-Ambientali e Territoriali (DiSAAT), Università degli Studi di Bari Aldo Moro, Bari, Italy.
Marina D'EsteDipartimento di Scienze Agro-Ambientali e Territoriali (DiSAAT), Università degli Studi di Bari Aldo Moro, Bari, Italy.
Vincenzo GiannicoDipartimento di Scienze Agro-Ambientali e Territoriali (DiSAAT), Università degli Studi di Bari Aldo Moro, Bari, Italy.
Nicola AmorosoDipartimento di Farmacia-Scienze del Farmaco, Università degli Studi di Bari Aldo Moro, Bari, Italy. nicola.amoroso@uniba.it.ORCID 0000-0003-0211-0783
Angela LombardiDipartimento Interateneo di Fisica M. Merlin, Università degli Studi di Bari Aldo Moro, Bari, Italy.
Ester PantaleoDipartimento Interateneo di Fisica M. Merlin, Università degli Studi di Bari Aldo Moro, Bari, Italy.
Alfonso MonacoDipartimento Interateneo di Fisica M. Merlin, Università degli Studi di Bari Aldo Moro, Bari, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-5968-8642
Giovanni SanesiDipartimento di Scienze Agro-Ambientali e Territoriali (DiSAAT), Università degli Studi di Bari Aldo Moro, Bari, Italy.
Sabina TangaroIstituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare, Sezione di Bari, Bari, Italy.
Roberto BellottiDipartimento Interateneo di Fisica M. Merlin, Università degli Studi di Bari Aldo Moro, Bari, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-3198-2708
Raffaele LafortezzaDipartimento di Scienze Agro-Ambientali e Territoriali (DiSAAT), Università degli Studi di Bari Aldo Moro, Bari, Italy.
Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare, Sezione di Bari · ITUniversity of Bari Aldo Moro · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The impacts and threats posed by wildfires are dramatically increasing due to climate change. In recent years, the wildfire community has attempted to estimate wildfire occurrence with machine learning models. However, to fully exploit the potential of these models, it is of paramount importance to make their predictions interpretable and intelligible. This study is a first attempt to provide an eXplainable artificial intelligence (XAI) framework for estimating wildfire occurrence using a Random Forest model with Shapley values for interpretation. Our findings accurately detected regions with a high presence of wildfires (area under the curve 81.3%) and outlined the drivers empowering occurrence, such as the Fire Weather Index and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index. Furthermore, our analysis suggests the presence of anomalous hotspots. In contexts where human and natural spheres constantly intermingle and interact, the XAI framework, suitably integrated into decision support systems, could support forest managers to prevent and mitigate future wildfire disasters and develop strategies for effective fire management, response, recovery, and resilience.

Indexed as

FiresWildfiresArtificial IntelligenceEuropeHumansMachine Learning

Identifiers

PMID36175583
PMCPMC9523070
OpenAlexW4297983752

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.