ArticleNature communications2022
The macroeconomic effects of adapting to high-end sea-level rise via protection and migration.
Article in Nature communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed.
- The economically optimal mix and timing of coastal adaptation in Europe to 2150.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Climate-driven flooding widens economic inequalities across EU regions.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Coastal flood impacts and lost ecosystem services along Europe's outermost regions and overseas countries and territories.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Private investments in climate change adaptation are increasing in Europe, although sectoral differences remain.Communications earth & environment · 2025Article
- Establishing flood thresholds for sea level rise impact communication.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Distribution of economic damages due to climate-driven sea-level rise across European regions and sectors.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Migration and sustainable development.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
- Climate change and human security in coastal regions.Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures · 2024Review
- Melting ice and rising seas - connecting projected change in Antarctica's ice sheets to communities in Aotearoa New Zealand.Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand · 2024Article
- Exploring spatial feedbacks between adaptation policies and internal migration patterns due to sea-level rise.Nature communications · 2023Article
- Social science to accelerate coastal adaptation to sea-level rise.Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures · 2023Review
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Climate change-induced sea level rise (SLR) is projected to be substantial, triggering human adaptation responses, including increasing protection and out-migration from coastlines. Yet, in macroeconomic assessments of SLR the latter option has been given little attention. We fill this gap by providing a global analysis of the macroeconomic effects of adaptation to SLR, including coastal migration, focusing on the higher end of SLR projections until 2050. We find that when adapting simultaneously via protection and coastal migration, macroeconomic costs can be lower than with protection alone. For some developing regions coastal migration is even less costly (in GDP) than protection. Additionally, we find that future macroeconomic costs are dominated by accumulated macroeconomic effects over time, rather than by future direct damages, implying the need for immediate adaptation. Finally, we demonstrate the importance of including autonomous adaptation in the reference scenario of economic assessment studies to avoid overestimation of adaptation benefits.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.