Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36173956›Full record

ArticlePloS one2022

Stochastic epidemiological model: Simulations of the SARS-CoV-2 spreading in Mexico.

Pablo Carlos López Vázquez, Gilberto Sánchez González, Jorge Martínez Ortega, Renato Salomón Arroyo Duarte

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact, top 89% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed, 0 citations in OpenAlex.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Pablo Carlos López VázquezDepartamento de Ciencias Naturales y Exactas, Universidad de Guadalajara, Ameca, Jalisco, México.ORCID 0000-0002-8757-6381
Gilberto Sánchez GonzálezCentro de Investigación Sobre Enfermedades Infecciosas, Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública, Cuernavaca, Morelos, México.ORCID 0000-0002-4322-0084
Jorge Martínez OrtegaCoordinación General de Innovación Gubernamental, Gobierno del Estado de Jalisco, Ciudad Creativa Digital, Guadalajara, Jalisco, México.
Renato Salomón Arroyo DuarteCoordinación de Análisis Estratégico, Gobierno del Estado de Jalisco, Ciudad Creativa Digital, Guadalajara, Jalisco, México.
Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública · MXSecretaría de Salud de Jalisco · MXUniversidad de Guadalajara · MX

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In this paper we model the spreading of the SARS-CoV-2 in Mexico by introducing a new stochastic approximation constructed from first principles, where the number of new infected individuals caused by a single infectious individual per unit time (a day), is a random variable of a time-dependent Poisson distribution. The model, structured on the basis of a Latent-Infectious-(Recovered or Deceased) (LI(RD)) compartmental approximation together with a modulation of the mean number of new infections (the Poisson parameters), provides a good tool to study theoretical and real scenarios.

Indexed as

COVID-19Latent InfectionHumansMexicoPoisson DistributionSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID36173956
PMCPMC9521938
OpenAlexW4297991756

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.