Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36171558›Full record

ArticleBMC psychiatry2022

Identifying individuals with undiagnosed post-traumatic stress disorder in a large United States civilian population - a machine learning approach.

Patrick Gagnon-Sanschagrin, Jeff Schein, Annette Urganus, Elizabeth Serra, Yawen Liang, Primrose Musingarimi, Martin Cloutier, Annie Guérin, Lori L Davis

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC psychiatry, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Prediction model to identify patients with hypereosinophilic syndrome using real-world data.The journal of allergy and clinical immunology. Global · 2026
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Observational
  10. Machine Learning Techniques to Predict Mental Health Diagnoses: A Systematic Literature Review.Clinical practice and epidemiology in mental health : CP & EMH · 2024
    Review
  11. Review
  12. Ethical and Legal Aspects of Trauma Evaluation.Focus (American Psychiatric Publishing) · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Patrick Gagnon-SanschagrinAnalysis Group, Inc., 1190 avenue des Canadiens-de-Montréal, 1190 avenue des Canadiens-de-Montréal, Tour Deloitte, Suite 1500, Montréal, QC, H3B 0G7, Canada. patrick.gagnon-sanschagrin@analysisgroup.com.
Jeff ScheinOtsuka Pharmaceutical Development & Commercialization, Inc., 508 Carnegie Center, Princeton, NJ, 08540, USA.
Annette UrganusLundbeck LLC, 6 Parkway North, Deerfield, IL, 60015, USA.
Elizabeth SerraAnalysis Group, Inc., 1190 avenue des Canadiens-de-Montréal, 1190 avenue des Canadiens-de-Montréal, Tour Deloitte, Suite 1500, Montréal, QC, H3B 0G7, Canada.
Yawen LiangAnalysis Group, Inc., 1190 avenue des Canadiens-de-Montréal, 1190 avenue des Canadiens-de-Montréal, Tour Deloitte, Suite 1500, Montréal, QC, H3B 0G7, Canada.
Primrose MusingarimiH. Lundbeck A/S, Ottiliavej 9, Valby, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Martin CloutierAnalysis Group, Inc., 1190 avenue des Canadiens-de-Montréal, 1190 avenue des Canadiens-de-Montréal, Tour Deloitte, Suite 1500, Montréal, QC, H3B 0G7, Canada.
Annie GuérinAnalysis Group, Inc., 1190 avenue des Canadiens-de-Montréal, 1190 avenue des Canadiens-de-Montréal, Tour Deloitte, Suite 1500, Montréal, QC, H3B 0G7, Canada.
Lori L DavisResearch Service, Tuscaloosa Veterans Affairs Medical Center, 3701 Loop Rd East, Tuscaloosa, AL, 35404, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe proportion of patients with post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) that remain undiagnosed may be substantial. Without an accurate diagnosis, these patients may lack PTSD-targeted treatments and experience adverse health outcomes. This study used a machine learning approach to identify and describe civilian patients likely to have undiagnosed PTSD in the US commercial population.

methodsThe IBM® MarketScan® Commercial Subset (10/01/2015-12/31/2018) was used. A random forest machine learning model was developed and trained to differentiate between patients with and without PTSD using non-trauma-based features. The model was applied to patients for whom PTSD status could not be confirmed to identify individuals likely and unlikely to have undiagnosed PTSD. Patient characteristics, symptoms and complications potentially related to PTSD, treatments received, healthcare costs, and healthcare resource utilization were described separately for patients with PTSD (Actual Positive PTSD cohort), patients likely to have PTSD (Likely PTSD cohort), and patients without PTSD (Without PTSD cohort).

resultsA total of 44,342 patients were classified in the Actual Positive PTSD cohort, 5683 in the Likely PTSD cohort, and 2,074,471 in the Without PTSD cohort. While several symptoms/comorbidities were similar between the Actual Positive and Likely PTSD cohorts, others, including depression and anxiety disorders, suicidal thoughts/actions, and substance use, were more common in the Likely PTSD cohort, suggesting that certain symptoms may be exacerbated among those without a formal diagnosis. Mean per-patient-per-6-month healthcare costs were similar between the Actual Positive and Likely PTSD cohorts ($11,156 and $11,723) and were higher than those of the Without PTSD cohort ($3616); however, cost drivers differed between cohorts, with the Likely PTSD cohort experiencing more inpatient admissions and less outpatient visits than the Actual Positive PTSD cohort.

conclusionsThese findings suggest that the lack of a PTSD diagnosis and targeted management of PTSD may result in a greater burden among undiagnosed patients and highlights the need for increased awareness of PTSD in clinical practice and among the civilian population.

Indexed as

Stress Disorders, Post-TraumaticAnxiety DisordersCohort StudiesComorbidityHumansMachine LearningUnited StatesCivilianMachine learningPost-traumatic stress disorderUndiagnosed

Identifiers

PMID36171558
PMCPMC9519190

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.