Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36170336›Full record

Observational studyPloS one2022

The first 20 months of the COVID-19 pandemic: Mortality, intubation and ICU rates among 104,590 patients hospitalized at 21 United States health systems.

Michael C Fiore, Stevens S Smith, Robert T Adsit, Daniel M Bolt, Karen L Conner, Steven L Bernstein, Oliver D Eng, David Lazuk, Alec Gonzalez, Douglas E Jorenby and 39 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract readMulticenter StudyObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in PloS one, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04506528 (COVID EHR COHORT at the University of Wisconsin), which is not on this map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04506528 completednot on this map

COVID EHR COHORT at the University of Wisconsin

Typeobservational_patient_registrySponsorUniversity of Wisconsin, MadisonRan2020 to 2022Enrolled1,634,381ConditionsCOVID-19, Cancer, Nicotine Dependence, Pulmonary Disease
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Observational
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
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  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

49 authors.

Michael C FioreCenter for Tobacco Research and Intervention, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-3460-1691
Stevens S SmithCenter for Tobacco Research and Intervention, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, United States of America.
Robert T AdsitCenter for Tobacco Research and Intervention, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-2329-3208
Daniel M BoltCenter for Tobacco Research and Intervention, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, United States of America.
Karen L ConnerCenter for Tobacco Research and Intervention, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, United States of America.
Steven L BernsteinDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, New Hampshire, United States of America.
Oliver D EngInstitute for Clinical and Translational Research, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America.
David LazukYale-New Haven Health System, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.
Alec GonzalezBlueTree Network, a Tegria Company, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America.
Douglas E JorenbyCenter for Tobacco Research and Intervention, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, United States of America.
Heather D'AngeloCarbone Cancer Center, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America.
Julie A KirschCenter for Tobacco Research and Intervention, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-0804-3518
Brian WilliamsCenter for Tobacco Research and Intervention, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, United States of America.
Margaret B NolanCenter for Tobacco Research and Intervention, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, United States of America.
Todd Hayes-BirchlerCenter for Tobacco Research and Intervention, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, United States of America.
Sean KentDepartment of Statistics, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-8697-9069
Hanna KimDepartment of Educational Psychology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-8311-1045
Thomas M PiaseckiCenter for Tobacco Research and Intervention, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, United States of America.
Wendy S SlutskeCenter for Tobacco Research and Intervention, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, United States of America.
Stan LubanskiUnited States Census Bureau, Washington, D.C., United States of America.
Menggang YuDepartment of Biostatistics & Medical Informatics, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America.
Youmi SukDepartment of Human Development, Teachers College, Columbia University, New York, New York, United States of America.
Yuxin CaiCenter for Tobacco Research and Intervention, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, United States of America.
Nitu KashyapYale-New Haven Health System, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.
Jomol P MathewDepartment of Population Health Sciences, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America.
Gabriel McMahanDepartment of Population Health Sciences, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America.
Betsy RollandInstitute for Clinical and Translational Research, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America.
Hilary A TindleDepartment of Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, United States of America.
Graham W WarrenDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, South Carolina, United States of America.
Lawrence C AnDivision of General Medicine, Rogel Cancer Center, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America.
Andrew D BoydDepartment of Biomedical and Health Information Sciences, College of Applied Health Sciences, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, United States of America.
Darlene H BrunzellVirginia Commonwealth University School of Medicine, Richmond, Virginia, United States of America.
Victor CarrilloHackensack Meridian Health, Hackensack University Medical Center, Hackensack, New Jersey, United States of America.
Li-Shiun ChenWashington University in St. Louis School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
James M DavisDuke Cancer Institute and Duke University Department of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, United States of America.
Deepika DilipMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-4961-1481
Edward F EllerbeckDepartment of Population Health, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, Missouri, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-7774-2729
Eduardo IturrateNew York University Langone Health, New York, New York, United States of America.
Thulasee JoseDepartment of Anesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-6113-5684
Niharika KhannaUniversity of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-3247-6762
Andrea KingDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Neuroscience, University of Chicago Comprehensive Cancer Center, Chicago, Illinois, United States of America.
Elizabeth KlassDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-8618-9083
Michael NewmanUniversity of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, United States of America.
Kimberly A ShoenbillDepartment of Family Medicine and Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-2693-638X
Elisa TongUniversity of California Davis, Davis, California, United States of America.
Janice Y TsohDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Hellen Diller Family Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-0989-7187
Karen M WilsonDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Rochester School of Medicine, Rochester, New York, United States of America.
Wendy E TheobaldCenter for Tobacco Research and Intervention, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, United States of America.
Timothy B BakerCenter for Tobacco Research and Intervention, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, United States of America.

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI SELWYN M VICKERS · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
Washington University Center for Cellular ImagingP30CA091842 · NCI · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI TIMOTHY J. EBERLEIN · 2001 to 2026
$128.0M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NCI NIH HHS P30 CA091842
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

MAIN

objectiveThere is limited information on how patient outcomes have changed during the COVID-19 pandemic. This study characterizes changes in mortality, intubation, and ICU admission rates during the first 20 months of the pandemic. STUDY DESIGN AND

methodsUniversity of Wisconsin researchers collected and harmonized electronic health record data from 1.1 million COVID-19 patients across 21 United States health systems from February 2020 through September 2021. The analysis comprised data from 104,590 adult hospitalized COVID-19 patients. Inclusion criteria for the analysis were: (1) age 18 years or older; (2) COVID-19 ICD-10 diagnosis during hospitalization and/or a positive COVID-19 PCR test in a 14-day window (+/- 7 days of hospital admission); and (3) health system contact prior to COVID-19 hospitalization. Outcomes assessed were: (1) mortality (primary), (2) endotracheal intubation, and (3) ICU admission. RESULTS AND SIGNIFICANCE: The 104,590 hospitalized participants had a mean age of 61.7 years and were 50.4% female, 24% Black, and 56.8% White. Overall risk-standardized mortality (adjusted for age, sex, race, ethnicity, body mass index, insurance status and medical comorbidities) declined from 16% of hospitalized COVID-19 patients (95% CI: 16% to 17%) early in the pandemic (February-April 2020) to 9% (CI: 9% to 10%) later (July-September 2021). Among subpopulations, males (vs. females), those on Medicare (vs. those on commercial insurance), the severely obese (vs. normal weight), and those aged 60 and older (vs. younger individuals) had especially high mortality rates both early and late in the pandemic. ICU admission and intubation rates also declined across these 20 months.

conclusionsMortality, intubation, and ICU admission rates improved markedly over the first 20 months of the pandemic among adult hospitalized COVID-19 patients although gains varied by subpopulation. These data provide important information on the course of COVID-19 and identify hospitalized patient groups at heightened risk for negative outcomes.

trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04506528 (https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04506528).

Indexed as

COVID-19Intensive Care UnitsAdultAgedFemaleHospitalizationHospital MortalityHumansIntubation, IntratrachealMaleMedicareMiddle AgedPandemicsUnited States

Identifiers

PMID36170336
PMCPMC9518859

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.