Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36168758›Full record

ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2022

Matches and mismatches between the global distribution of major food crops and climate suitability.

Lucie Mahaut, Samuel Pironon, Jean-Yves Barnagaud, François Bretagnolle, Colin K Khoury, Zia Mehrabi, Ruben Milla, Charlotte Phillips, Loren H Rieseberg, Cyrille Violle and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Lucie MahautCEFE, Univ Montpellier, CNRS, EPHE, IRD, Montpellier, France.ORCID 0000-0002-5825-3807
Samuel PirononRoyal Botanic Gardens, Kew, Richmond, UK.
Jean-Yves BarnagaudCEFE, Univ Montpellier, CNRS, EPHE-PSL University, IRD, Montpellier, France.
François BretagnolleCEFE, Univ Montpellier, CNRS, EPHE-PSL University, IRD, Montpellier, France.
Colin K KhouryInternational Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT), Km 17, Recta Cali-Palmira, Apartado Aéreo 6713, Cali 763537, Colombia.
Zia MehrabiInstitute for Resources Environment and Sustainability, School of Public Policy and Global Affairs, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada, V6R 2A5.
Ruben MillaUniversidad Rey Juan Carlos, Escuela Superior de Ciencias Experimentales y Tecnología, Mostoles, Spain.
Charlotte PhillipsRoyal Botanic Gardens, Kew, Richmond, UK.
Loren H RiesebergDepartment of Botany and Biodiversity Research Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada, V6R 2A5.
Cyrille ViolleCEFE, Univ Montpellier, CNRS, EPHE, IRD, Montpellier, France.
Delphine RenardCEFE, Univ Montpellier, CNRS, EPHE, IRD, Montpellier, France.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Over the course of history, humans have moved crops from their regions of origin to new locations across the world. The social, cultural and economic drivers of these movements have generated differences not only between current distributions of crops and their climatic origins, but also between crop distributions and climate suitability for their production. Although these mismatches are particularly important to inform agricultural strategies on climate change adaptation, they have, to date, not been quantified consistently at the global level. Here, we show that the relationships between the distributions of 12 major food crops and climate suitability for their yields display strong variation globally. After investigating the role of biophysical, socio-economic and historical factors, we report that high-income world regions display a better match between crop distribution and climate suitability. In addition, although crops are farmed predominantly in the same climatic range as their wild progenitors, climate suitability is not necessarily higher there, a pattern that reflects the legacy of domestication history on current crop distribution. Our results reveal how far the global distribution of major crops diverges from their climatic optima and call for greater consideration of the multiple dimensions of the crop socio-ecological niche in climate change adaptive strategies.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeCrops, AgriculturalAgricultureEcosystemFarmsHumansclimate suitabilityclimatic nichecrop biogeographyglobal agriculture

Identifiers

PMID36168758
PMCPMC9515644

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.