ArticleNature communications2022
Predicting the evolution of the Lassa virus endemic area and population at risk over the next decades.
Article in Nature communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 57 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
57 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Assessing the Environmental Drivers of Lassa Fever in West Africa: A Systematic Review.Viruses · 2025Pooled it
- Bacterial Infection in Ebola Virus Disease, Marburg Virus Disease, Crimean-Congo Hemorrhagic Fever, and Lassa Fever.Open forum infectious diseases · 2026Review
- Sirtuin 1 Is Required for Optimal Mammarenavirus Multiplication.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026Article
- Sequence to structure insights into Lassa virus population-level biophysical properties and glycoprotein structure catalogue.Npj viruses · 2026Article
- SERAPHIM 2.0: an extended toolbox for studying phylogenetically informed movements.Bioinformatics (Oxford, England) · 2026Article
- Article
- Land use gradients drive spatial variation in Lassa fever host communities in the Eastern Province of Sierra Leone.The Journal of animal ecology · 2026Article
- Genomic characterization of Sabiá virus in Brazil, 2019-2020: Implications for diagnostics, virus evolution, and receptor binding.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- Biological causes and impacts of rugged tree landscapes in phylodynamic inference.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Screening of the Pandemic Response Box Library Identified CRM1/XPO1 as an Anti-Mammarenavirus Druggable Target.Viruses · 2026Article
- Land and climate suitability for West Nile virus in Atlantic archipelagos guided by historical data from Europe.Communications biology · 2026Article
- Genomic epidemiology and evolutionary analysis of Lassa virus from small mammals suggest bidirectional viral movement across humans and animals.Virus evolution · 2026Article
- Mapping the scientific landscape of Lassa virus: a 55-year bibliometric study (1970-2025).Science in One Health · 2026Article
- Virome characterization of wild small mammals provides new insight into zoonotic pathogens in West Africa.Microbiome · 2025Article
- Serosurveillance Identifies an Endemic Hotspot of Lassa Fever in Faranah, Upper Guinea.The Journal of infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Evaluation of antigen and antibody assays for surveillance of Lassa virus in peri-domestic rodents in southeastern Sierra Leone: a cross-sectional study.The Lancet. Microbe · 2025Article
- Serological Evidence of Lassa Virus Exposure in Non-Viruses · 2025Article
- Climate Change Impact on Human-Rodent Interfaces: Modeling Junin Virus Reservoir Shifts.EcoHealth · 2025Article
- High-resolution global distribution projections of 10 rodent genera under diverse SSP-RCP scenarios, 2021-2100.Scientific data · 2025Article
- Establishment of a Lassa Fever Specimen Biobank in Nigeria.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
27 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Lassa fever is a severe viral hemorrhagic fever caused by a zoonotic virus that repeatedly spills over to humans from its rodent reservoirs. It is currently not known how climate and land use changes could affect the endemic area of this virus, currently limited to parts of West Africa. By exploring the environmental data associated with virus occurrence using ecological niche modelling, we show how temperature, precipitation and the presence of pastures determine ecological suitability for virus circulation. Based on projections of climate, land use, and population changes, we find that regions in Central and East Africa will likely become suitable for Lassa virus over the next decades and estimate that the total population living in ecological conditions that are suitable for Lassa virus circulation may drastically increase by 2070. By analysing geotagged viral genomes using spatially-explicit phylogeography and simulating virus dispersal, we find that in the event of Lassa virus being introduced into a new suitable region, its spread might remain spatially limited over the first decades.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.