Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36167547›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2022

Dense phenotyping from electronic health records enables machine learning-based prediction of preterm birth.

Abin Abraham, Brian Le, Idit Kosti, Peter Straub, Digna R Velez-Edwards, Lea K Davis, J M Newton, Louis J Muglia, Antonis Rokas, Cosmin A Bejan and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed.

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  19. Transforming neonatal care with artificial intelligence: challenges, ethical consideration, and opportunities.Journal of perinatology : official journal of the California Perinatal Association · 2024
    Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Abin AbrahamVanderbilt Genetics Institute, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, 37235, USA.
Brian LeBakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Idit KostiBakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Peter StraubVanderbilt Genetics Institute, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, 37235, USA.
Digna R Velez-EdwardsVanderbilt Genetics Institute, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, 37235, USA.
Lea K DavisVanderbilt Genetics Institute, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, 37235, USA.
J M NewtonDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA.
Louis J MugliaBurroughs-Wellcome Fund, Research Triangle Park, NC, USA.
Antonis RokasDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA.
Cosmin A BejanDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA.
Marina SirotaBakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
John A CapraVanderbilt Genetics Institute, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, 37235, USA. tony.capra@ucsf.edu.

Funding

Vanderbilt Institute for Clinical and Translational Research (VICTR) -Identifying correlates of functional immunity in SARS-CoV-2 convalescent plasmaUL1TR002243 · NCATS · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI Paul A. Harris, Wesley H Self · 2017 to 2026
$130.7M
VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY CTSA FOR PEDIATRIC RESEARCHUL1RR024975 · NCRR · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI BERNARD, GORDON RAPHAEL · 2007 to 2011
$45.7M
The Vanderbilt Institute for Clinical and Translational Research (VICTR)UL1TR000445 · NCATS · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI BERNARD, GORDON RAPHAEL · 2012 to 2016
$41.4M
MEDICAL SCIENTIST TRAINING PROGRAMT32GM007347 · NIGMS · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI WILLIAMS, CHRISTOPHER S. · 1985 to 2023
$26.3M
Pharmacogenomics of Arrhythmia TherapyU19HL065962 · NHLBI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI RODEN, DAN M · 2010 to 2014
$17.4M
Understanding and preventing HLA-associated drug reactionsP50GM115305 · NIGMS · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI DENNY, JOSHUA C. · 2015 to 2019
$13.0M
Overall: Eunice Kennedy Shriver Intellectual and Developmental Disabilities Research Center at VanderbiltP50HD103537 · NICHD · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI Jeffrey L Neul · 2020 to 2026
$10.3M
The Genetic Epemiology of Multiple SclerosisR01NS032830 · NINDS · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI HAINES, JONATHAN L · 1995 to 2010
$8.9M
Epidemiologic Architecture for Genes Linked to Environment (EAGLE)U01HG004798 · NHGRI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI CRAWFORD, DANA C · 2008 to 2013
$8.8M
VESPA: Vanderbilt Electronic Systems for Pharmacogenomic AssessmentRC2GM092618 · NIGMS · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI DENNY, JOSHUA C., RODEN, DAN M · 2009 to 2010
$6.4M
Vanderbilt Genome Electronic Records ProjectU01HG006378 · NHGRI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI RODEN, DAN M · 2011 to 2014
$4.0M
The Evolution of Gene Regulation and Human DiseaseR35GM127087 · NIGMS · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI John Anthony Capra · 2018 to 2026
$3.2M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000445NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002243NCRR NIH HHS S10 RR025141NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR024975NHGRI NIH HHS U01 HG004798NHGRI NIH HHS U01 HG006378NHLBI NIH HHS U19 HL065962NICHD NIH HHS P50 HD103537NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD074711NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD101669NIGMS NIH HHS P50 GM115305NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM127087NIGMS NIH HHS RC2 GM092618NIGMS NIH HHS T32 GM007347NINDS NIH HHS R01 NS032830NLM NIH HHS K01 LM012381
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIdentifying pregnancies at risk for preterm birth, one of the leading causes of worldwide infant mortality, has the potential to improve prenatal care. However, we lack broadly applicable methods to accurately predict preterm birth risk. The dense longitudinal information present in electronic health records (EHRs) is enabling scalable and cost-efficient risk modeling of many diseases, but EHR resources have been largely untapped in the study of pregnancy.

methodsHere, we apply machine learning to diverse data from EHRs with 35,282 deliveries to predict singleton preterm birth.

resultsWe find that machine learning models based on billing codes alone can predict preterm birth risk at various gestational ages (e.g., ROC-AUC = 0.75, PR-AUC = 0.40 at 28 weeks of gestation) and outperform comparable models trained using known risk factors (e.g., ROC-AUC = 0.65, PR-AUC = 0.25 at 28 weeks). Examining the patterns learned by the model reveals it stratifies deliveries into interpretable groups, including high-risk preterm birth subtypes enriched for distinct comorbidities. Our machine learning approach also predicts preterm birth subtypes (spontaneous vs. indicated), mode of delivery, and recurrent preterm birth. Finally, we demonstrate the portability of our approach by showing that the prediction models maintain their accuracy on a large, independent cohort (5978 deliveries) from a different healthcare system.

conclusionsBy leveraging rich phenotypic and genetic features derived from EHRs, we suggest that machine learning algorithms have great potential to improve medical care during pregnancy. However, further work is needed before these models can be applied in clinical settings.

Indexed as

Premature BirthAlgorithmsElectronic Health RecordsFemaleGestational AgeHumansInfant, NewbornMachine LearningPregnancyArtificial intelligenceElectronic health recordsMachine learningPreterm birth

Identifiers

PMID36167547
PMCPMC9516830

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.