Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36164857›Full record

ArticleJournal of applied gerontology : the official journal of the Southern Gerontological Society2023

Predicting Hospitalization among Medicaid Home- and Community-Based Services Users Using Machine Learning Methods.

Daniel Jung, Harold A Pollack, R Tamara Konetzka

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of applied gerontology : the official journal of the Southern Gerontological Society, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Discharge disposition for home health care patients with Alzheimer's disease and related dementia: The role of living arrangements and rural living.The Journal of rural health : official journal of the American Rural Health Association and the National Rural Health Care Association · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Daniel JungDepartment of Health Policy and Management, 1355University of Georgia, Athens, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2872-0873
Harold A PollackSchool of Social Service Administration, 278762University of Chicago, IL, USA.
R Tamara KonetzkaDivision of Biological Sciences, Department of Public Health Sciences, University of Chicago, IL, USA.

Funding

Effects of Care Setting on Persons with Alzheimer's Disease and their SpousesRF1AG054071 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI KONETZKA, RITA TAMARA · 2017 to 2017
$1.8M
NIA NIH HHS RF1 AG054071
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We compare multiple machine learning algorithms and develop models to predict future hospitalization among Home- and Community-Based Services (HCBS) Users. Furthermore, we calculate feature importance, the score of input variables based on their importance to predict the outcome, to identify the most relevant variables to predict hospitalization. We use the 2012 national Medicaid Analytic eXtract data and Medicare Provider Analysis and Review data. Predicting any hospitalization, Random Forest appears to be the most robust approach, though XGBoost achieved similar predictive performance. While the importance of features varies by algorithm, chronic conditions, previous hospitalizations, as well as use of services for ambulance, personal care, and durable medical equipment were generally found to be important predictors of hospitalization. Utilizing prediction models to identify those who are prone to hospitalization could be useful in developing early interventions to improve outcomes among HCBS users.

Indexed as

Home Care ServicesMedicaidAgedCommunity Health ServicesHospitalizationHumansMachine LearningMedicareUnited Stateshome- and community-based carehospitalizationlong-term caremachine learningMedicaidMedicare

Identifiers

PMID36164857
PMCPMC10069559

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.