Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36157927›Full record

ArticleWorld journal of gastroenterology2022

International patterns in incidence and mortality trends of pancreatic cancer in the last three decades: A joinpoint regression analysis.

Irena Ilic, Milena Ilic

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in World journal of gastroenterology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 97 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
97citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

97 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. High IntratumoralInternational journal of molecular sciences · 2026
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37 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Irena IlicFaculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Belgrade 11000, Serbia.
Milena IlicDepartment of Epidemiology, Faculty of Medical Sciences, University of Kragujevac, Kragujevac 34000, Serbia. drmilenailic@yahoo.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPancreatic cancer, as the one of most fatal malignancies, remains a critical issue in the global burden of disease.

aimTo estimate trends in pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality worldwide in the last three decades.

methodsA descriptive epidemiological study was done. Pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality data were obtained from the database of the World Health Organization. Analysis of pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality during 2020 was performed. The age-standardized rates (ASRs, expressed

resultsA total of 495773 (262865 male and 232908 female) new cases and 466003 (246840 male and 219163 female) deaths from pancreatic cancer were reported worldwide in 2020. In both sexes, most of the new cases (191348; 38.6% of the total) and deaths (182074; 39.1% of the total) occurred in the Western Pacific Region. In both sexes, the highest ASRs were found in the European Region, while the lowest rates were reported in the South-East Asia Region. The general pattern of rising pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality was seen across countries worldwide in observed period. Out of all countries with an increase in pancreatic cancer incidence, females in France and India showed the most marked rise in incidence rates (AAPC = +3.9% and AAPC = +3.7%, respectively). Decreasing incidence trends for pancreatic cancer were observed in some countries, but without significance. Out of all countries with an increase in pancreatic cancer mortality rates, Turkmenistan showed the most marked rise both in males (AAPC = +10.0%, 95%CI: 7.4-12.5) and females (AAPC = +6.4%, 95%CI: 3.5-9.5). The mortality trends of pancreatic cancer were decreasing in both sexes only in Canada and Mexico.

conclusionFurther research is needed to explain the cause of large international differences in incidence and mortality trends of pancreatic cancer in last three decades.

Indexed as

Pancreatic NeoplasmsDatabases, FactualFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMortalityRegression AnalysisIncidenceInternational patternJoinpoint analysisMortalityPancreatic cancer

Identifiers

PMID36157927
PMCPMC9476884

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.