Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36156459›Full record

ArticleObesity (Silver Spring, Md.)2022

Prediagnostic BMI trajectories in relation to pancreatic cancer risk in the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial.

Margaret Hoyt, Yiqing Song, Sujuan Gao, Jacquelynn O'Palka, Jianjun Zhang

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Obesity (Silver Spring, Md.), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.5field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Life Course Trajectories of Body Mass Index and Risk of Cancer in Adulthood: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Obesity reviews : an official journal of the International Association for the Study of Obesity · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  6. Challenges of early detection of pancreatic cancer.The Journal of clinical investigation · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Margaret HoytDepartment of Epidemiology, Richard M. Fairbanks School of Public Health, Indiana University-Purdue University, Indianapolis, Indiana, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9486-2095
Yiqing SongDepartment of Epidemiology, Richard M. Fairbanks School of Public Health, Indiana University-Purdue University, Indianapolis, Indiana, USA.
Sujuan GaoDepartment of Biostatistics and Health Data Science, Richard M. Fairbanks School of Public Health and School of Medicine, Indiana University-Purdue University, Indianapolis, Indiana, USA.
Jacquelynn O'PalkaDepartment of Nutrition and Dietetics, School of Health and Human Sciences, Indiana University-Purdue University, Indianapolis, Indiana, USA.
Jianjun ZhangDepartment of Epidemiology, Richard M. Fairbanks School of Public Health, Indiana University-Purdue University, Indianapolis, Indiana, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2179-2388
Indiana University – Purdue University Indianapolis · USIndiana University Health · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveIt remains elusive whether prediagnostic BMI trajectory is associated with pancreatic cancer.

methodsThis study investigated this question among 145,489 participants who gave rise to 696 incident cases of pancreatic cancer over a median follow-up of 12 years in the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian (PLCO) Cancer Screening Trial. At baseline, participants were asked to recall their weight at ages 20, 50, and 55 to 74 years (at enrollment), as well as their height.

resultsAt age 50 years, people with obesity had a significantly increased risk of pancreatic cancer compared with those with a normal weight after adjustment for confounders (hazard ratio [95% CI]: 1.27 [1.01-1.60]). Individuals who had overweight at age 20 years experienced a marginally significant elevated risk of pancreatic cancer (hazard ratio [95% CI]: 1.22 [0.99-1.50]). Compared with individuals who maintained a steady normal weight during follow-up, no significantly altered risk of pancreatic cancer was observed for those whose weight status changed from normal weight to overweight, from normal weight to obesity, and from overweight to obesity.

conclusionsThe present study revealed that prediagnostic adulthood BMI trajectory was not associated with pancreatic cancer risk, but overweight at young adulthood and obesity at middle adulthood may confer an elevated risk of this malignancy.

Indexed as

Body-Weight TrajectoryOverweightPancreatic NeoplasmsAdultAgedBody Mass IndexClinical Trials as TopicColorectal NeoplasmsEarly Detection of CancerFemaleHumansLung NeoplasmsMaleMiddle AgedObesityOvarian Neoplasms

Identifiers

PMID36156459
PMCPMC9826088
OpenAlexW4297236035

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.